CFP Championship 2026-27 Betting Preview: Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets

CFP Championship 2026-27 Betting Preview: Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets

With less than a month before the college football season kicks off, the 2026 CFP Championship odds have been updated after Indiana’s improbable run last year. Can the Hoosiers do it again and prove that they’re a college football powerhouse?

In this college football season betting preview, I explore the offseason odds, critique the top favorites, and share my CFP Championship predictions.


CFP National Championship 2026-27 Odds

Here are the latest CFP title odds, courtesy of Lucky Rebel:

TEAM ODDS
Ohio State Buckeyes +600
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +700
Texas Longhorns +775
Oregon Ducks +800
Georgia Bulldogs +900
Indiana Hoosiers +900
Miami Hurricanes +1100
Oklahoma Sooners +2000
LSU Tigers +2200
Texas A&M Aggies +2200

As the regular season nears, the Ohio State Buckeyes (+600) have overtaken the top spot at college football betting sites. Meanwhile, the betting public has lost confidence in the Indiana Hoosiers, as they’ve slipped down five spots from the favorite at +700 to +900 over the summer.

Currently, the Buckeyes have a 14.3% implied probability to claim their 10th national title and second since 2024. There has been a strong influx of money on Ohio State, but the updated CFP Championship odds represent what should be a competitive season.

After Ohio State, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+700) have high expectations and are listed with the second-best odds to win in 2026-27. Notre Dame’s price has held at +700 since May. The Texas Longhorns (+775) remain in contention, with their odds regressing minimally from +750 to +775.

The Oregon Ducks (+800) and Georgia Bulldogs (+900) both witnessed improvement over the last three months. Early in the summer, Oregon had +900 odds, while Georgia was sitting at +1100 in May. Oregon’s implied chance rose by 1.1%, while the Bulldogs are up by 1.7%.

You can find up-to-date odds to win the CFP National Championship at Lucky Rebel by navigating to All Sports (A-Z) > Football > NCAA Championship.

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2026-27 CFP Championship Betting Favorites

While the CFP odds are likely to shift before kick-off in late August, the four current favorites are worth a look before breaking down my college football championship picks:

Ohio State Buckeyes – Sayin’s Season?

    • Head Coach: Ryan Day
    • 2025-26 Record: 12-2 (CFP Loss Quarterfinals)
    • National Titles: 9
    • Key Players: Julian Sayin (QB), Jeremiah Smith (WR), Chris Henry Jr. (WR), Bo Jackson (RB), Kenyatta Jackson Jr. (DE)

After a tough ending to their 2025-26 campaign, Ryan Day’s Ohio State Buckeyes will once again lean on a high-powered offense to carry them back to the promised land. They exited in disappointing fashion with a 24-14 loss to the Miami Hurricanes in the quarterfinals, and there are clear question marks on this roster.

The one area that inspires real confidence is their explosive offense. With QB Julian Sayin entering his second season as the starter, the Buckeyes should have no trouble lighting up the scoreboard. Sayin quietly put together a highly productive campaign last year and finished as a Heisman finalist.

He threw for 3,610 yards, 32 touchdowns, and eight interceptions while completing 77% of his passes. Efficient and poised, Sayin spread the ball around with ease, and he’ll have no shortage of weapons again this season. Even with Carnell Tate off to the NFL, Ohio State is still loaded at the skill positions.

Sayin was up-and-down in the spring game, passing for 8-of-15 passing and an interception. He ran for a score and 10 yards on two carries to showcase his mobility.

Five star freshman QB Tavien St. Clair turned some heads with his performance, with 166 yards and a passing touchdown. Right, now there isn’t a quarterback battle, but it could get interesting early in the season if Sayin struggles.

At wide receiver, Jeremiah Smith is a dark-horse Heisman candidate, while electric freshman Chris Henry Jr. is expected to contribute right away. Henry arrives as the No. 1 wide receiver recruit in the country and is projected to develop into a more complete player than his late father.

He was the most impressive player in the spring game for the Buckeyes. Henry finished with four receptions, 96 touchdowns, and a touchdown to make a big impression in his introduction to Buckeyes fans in Columbus. He and Smith will cause huge issues for defenses this season.

In the backfield, the return of RB Bo Jackson is just as important, giving the Buckeyes balance and another dynamic threat.

The other side of the ball is where things get complicated. Ohio State’s defense will be extremely young, and several new faces must emerge quickly. They’re transitioning from an elite 2025-26 unit to one with multiple holes to fill.

It’s a major overhaul: DE Arvell Reese and LB Sonny Styles are now in the NFL, and the secondary has been hit hard by the departures of S Caleb Downs and CB Davison Igbinosun.

CB Jermaine Matthews’ decision to return was crucial, but the Buckeyes still need DE Kenyatta Jackson Jr. and Eddrick Houston to hit their ceilings off the edge. Even if those pieces develop as hoped, growing pains feel inevitable.

With so much youth on defense, Ohio State is likely to find itself in plenty of shootouts throughout the 2026-27 season. This isn’t the same elite defensive unit as last season, which is concerning for Day and the Buckeyes. It’s also a tough schedule, with several high-profile matchups on the docket.

Fortunately, though, Ohio State is entering training camp in healthy shape. They had key injuries to starting offensive tackles, but Austin Sierveld and Phillip Daniels are back for training camp. Additionally, Florida State transfer S Earl Little Jr. will be set to play after recovering from a minor procedure. Clean health will be crucial for Ohio State’s defensive success in 2026.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish – The Most Motivated Team?

    • Head Coach: Marcus Freeman
    • 2025-26 Record: 10-2 (Didn’t Qualify CFP)
    • National Titles: 13
    • Key Players: CJ Carr (QB), Jordan Faison (WR), Adlon Shuler (S), Leonard Moore (CB), Christian Gray (CB)

With 72% of their production returning, Notre Dame leads the nation in this key category. This is an experienced group with plenty of motivation after being left out of the College Football Playoff. Head coach Marcus Freeman and his staff felt their 2025-26 resume was strong enough to earn a bid, but the committee thought otherwise.

Now, Notre Dame brings back a roster on both sides of the ball that’s fully capable of running the table and removing any doubt in 2026-27.

QB CJ Carr looks ready to make the next leap after throwing for 2,741 yards, 24 touchdowns, and just six interceptions on 66.6% completions as a freshman. He also showed some mobility with three scores on the ground.

Carr isn’t drawing much early Heisman buzz, but he has the upside to play his way into the conversation. His connection with wideout Jordan Faison could drive a big year for the Irish offense.

That’s despite the loss of elite running back Jeremiyah Love, a potential top-5 NFL Draft pick. Thanks to a deep, talented offensive line, Notre Dame should still be able to open lanes for RB Jadarian Price, the next man up in the backfield.

With RB Jadarian Price the final pick of the first round in the 2026 NFL Draft, Aneyas Williams is expected to be the next big runner in South Bend. After averaging 9.3 yards per carry on 24 attempts in 2025, he should fit in nicely in a starting role.

The real headline, though, might be this stacked Notre Dame defense. The Irish boast one of the deepest, most talented secondaries in the country, with multiple starters and key contributors returning for 2026–27. S Adlon Shuler is back, and he’ll be joined again by CBs Leonard Moore and Christian Gray.

Offensive lineman Charles Jaguash will start the season on the injury report with a nerve injury. However, he is expected to make his return to the field mid-season, and the Fighting Irish have more than enough depth to overcome his loss.

5-star freshman S Joey O’Brien broke his fibula in the spring game but is expected to make a recovery. Otherwise, the Fighting Irish are in good health with training camp approaching.

I’m optimistic about Notre Dame and they should be well-prepared to hammer teams and run up the scoreboard with their superior depth and well-rounded attack on both sides of the ball.

Texas Longhorns – Arch Lives Up to Expectations?

    • Head Coach: Steve Sarkisian
    • 2025-26 Record: 10-3 (Didn’t Qualify CFP)
    • National Titles: 4
    • Key Players: Arch Manning (QB), Trevor Goosby (OT), Derrek Cooper (RB), Colin Simmons (DE), Graceson Littleton (DB)

No other program in the nation will start the season with more pressure than QB Arch Manning and the Texas Longhorns. They have the talent and pedigree, but we’ve heard this story before.

Much like the Dallas Cowboys in Texas, the Longhorns have heard this recurring story too often. Manning was expected to breakout into a Heisman Trophy contender last season. However, it didn’t come to fruition and Manning had to answer several questions.

After a 10-3 season, the Longhorns were left out of the postseason discussion, and now Manning enters this season with sky-high expectations. He passed for 3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns, and seven interceptions in a solid year, though nothing elite.

Peyton Manning’s nephew is coming off foot surgery but looks sharp and at 100% in practice. Instead of a traditional matchup for their spring game, they held an open practice, with Manning in sharp shape in 7-on-7 drills. Manning should find instant success with a strong receiving core that includes Auburn transfer WR Cam Coleman and WR Ryan Wingo. I also expect a breakout campaign for junior pass catcher WR Emmett Mosley V.

Despite numerous injuries in the spring, the Texas’ offense is projected to be at full health for Week 1.

Fortunately, Manning will have lynchpin LT Trevor Goosby back to protect him on the offensive line. He’s going to need more help from the backfield, though. The backfield left Manning out to do it himself. 5-star freshman Derrek Cooper is being counted on to provide a huge lift.

The defense should once again be in good shape, as they return around 70% of their production. That includes 12-sack pass rusher Colin Simmons and game-changer DB Graceson Littleton in the secondary.

Despite the talent, I don’t know if Steve Sarkisian is the coach to get the most out of them, however. They should falter somewhere along the line, and the seat will get significantly warm for Sarkisian in Austin. It’s hard to trust the Longhorns for my college football championship picks at +775.

Expect a solid season and trip to the College Football Playoff, but a potential loss in the semifinals likely derails their national title dreams.

Oregon Ducks – Heisman for Dante Moore?

    • Head Coach: Dan Lanning
    • 2025-26 Record: 13-2 (Loss CFP Semifinal)
    • National Titles: 0
    • Key Players: Dante Moore (QB), Dakorien Moore (WR), Iapani Laloulu (C), Matayo Uiagalelei (EDGE), A’Mauri Washington (DT)

After falling just short in a 13-2 campaign that ended in the College Football Playoff Semifinals, Dan Lanning’s Oregon Ducks enter 2026 positioned as one of the most complete teams in the nation.

Priced at +800 odds to bring Eugene its first-ever National Championship, the Ducks represent one of the most attractive futures bets on the board. Lanning has quickly built Oregon into a physical, high-execution juggernaut that combines elite blue-chip talent with high-level coaching depth.

With an 11.1% implied probability of lifting the trophy, Oregon offers solid value on paper, but can you trust them to perform when it matters the most? The central engine driving Oregon’s championship campaign is QB Dante Moore, who elected to bypass NFL Draft buzz for a second year as the Ducks’ starter.

Fresh off a dominant 2025 season where he piled up 3,565 passing yards and 30 touchdowns, Moore enters the year squarely in the middle of the Heisman Trophy conversation.

His development in Lanning’s scheme gives Oregon one of the most explosive air attacks in college football, especially with electric WR Dakorien Moore serving as his primary perimeter target.

Up front, veteran center Iapani Laloulu anchors an offensive line that consistently wins at the point of attack, giving Moore the pocket protection necessary to dissect Big Ten defenses.

On the other side of the ball, Dan Lanning’s defense remains a terrifying proposition for opposing offensive coordinators. The Ducks boast an NFL-caliber front seven capable of wrecking game plans without needing to blitz heavily.

Edge rusher Matayo Uiagalelei provides dynamic off-the-edge disruption, while DT A’Mauri Washington clogs running lanes and pushes the pocket against the run. This balance of a high-flying offense and an elite defensive line gives Oregon the highest floor of almost any contender in the country.

In the expanded College Football Playoff era, getting a proven title contender with this level of continuity at +800 odds makes the Ducks an attractive option. However, like Texas, this team seems to have an inherit issue in getting over the hump.

Similar to Oregon teams of past years, they should look like a champion at times and hyped up to the ceiling by the media, but unable to finish when the stakes are at their highest.


2026-27 CFP Championship Longshot Bets

Like we saw last season, including a couple of longshots to win the national title is an important college football betting strategy. Here, I’ve isolated my two favorite underdog wagers:

  1. 1.  USC Trojans (+3300)

    At +3300 odds (around a 2.9% implied probability), the USC Trojans present one of the highest-upside longshot bets on the board heading into the 2026 season.

    Under head coach Lincoln Riley, USC’s offensive baseline guarantees elite quarterback production and explosive downfield playmaking. With QB Jayden Maiava commanding the offense, the Trojans possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard and trade blows with any top-tier contender in the nation.

    The primary case for backing USC at this price lies in defensive development and path to the playoffs. As coordinator D’Anton Lynn’s defensive system enters its second full season, improved blue-chip depth across the front seven and secondary should help close the physical gap against top Big Ten opponents.

    In the expanded College Football Playoff structure, USC doesn’t need an unblemished record to punch a postseason ticket. If the offense maintains its high ceiling and the defense steps up to a top-25 level, a +3300 ticket offers massive leverage on a program with high-end championship talent.

  2. 2.  Ole Miss Rebels (+2500)

    After a thrilling run to the College Football Playoff, Ole Miss turns the page to a new era with Pete Golding taking over for his first season as head coach. Lane Kiffin’s unexpected move to LSU before the CFP leaves Golding with the keys to a program that’s already operating at a high level.

    The biggest offseason win came off the field, as QB Trinidad Chambliss was granted a sixth year of eligibility after a lengthy court battle. Chambliss became one of college football’s breakout stars last season, throwing for 3,937 yards, 22 touchdowns, and only three interceptions on 66.1% completions in his first FBS campaign after transferring from Ferris State.

    I’m confident Chambliss can take another step forward in 2026-27. With RB Kewan Lacy back in the fold, the Rebels’ offense should remain one of the nation’s most explosive units. Defensively, Ole Miss returns impact talent in the trenches and the secondary, highlighted by LB Suntraine Perkins and DT William Echoles.

    Add in notable transfer-portal additions, and Ole Miss looks undervalued at +2500, their odds to win the CFP should be shorter. That’s a large price on a team that has an opportunity to make another huge impact. Losing Kiffin isn’t ideal, but I expect Golding to keep this team focused and motivated for the 2025-26 season.


College Football Championship 2026-27 Predictions and Betting Pick

Several programs will enter the 2026–27 season with major holes to fill, but the Notre Dame Fighting Irish should be ready to contend from the opening kickoff. With a large group of key contributors returning to South Bend, this roster is both more talented and more experienced than a year ago, and they carry the sting of being left out this season.

Motivation won’t be an issue. Carr and most of his teammates lived through last season’s disappointment, when the committee passed on them for the College Football Playoff. That snub will linger, and this group is poised to turn it into fuel all season long.

There will be some bettors that look at the backfield with Love and Price departing and being hesitant, but the Fighting Irish offensive line should dominate to maintain a strong running game.

Ultimately, Carr’s leadership and Notre Dame’s deep secondary give the Irish a clear edge. At +700, they sit at the top of my board for best College Football Championship bets. I played Notre Dame to win in May and remain confident in their chances as the season nears.

The Bet
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Lucky Rebel
+700


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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
Editor-in-Chief
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek, providing reliable analysis for millions of readers since joining the team in 2012. After placing his first sports bet on his 18th birthday, Kyle has devoted his entire adult life to becoming the best bettor he can be. He’s covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world, from the Super Bowl and World Series to the NBA Finals and Kentucky Derby. Kyle lives in Windsor, Ontario.
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