At The Sports Geek, we are always looking for ways to give our readers an edge. One of our most powerful tools are our AI betting picks. We often get asked about the “magic” behind these predictions, so we wanted to provide an overview of how our AI picks are prepared and executed.
To be upfront, we won’t be sharing all of our secrets here. Maintaining our competitive advantage means keeping the exact recipe under wraps.
However, we want to provide enough general information to give you a clear idea of what we do and the philosophy behind our system, without giving away the exact blueprint of how we do it.
What Are the Geek’s AI Picks?
In short, our AI picks are the result of a proprietary algorithm designed to analyze massive amounts of sports data and betting odds. By processing a large number of data points simultaneously, the system identifies inefficiencies in the market and delivers highly accurate projections.
Note that the model isn’t limited to just one sport and is utilized across a variety of sporting events. We deploy it across a wide variety of major sports leagues, providing daily picks for the NFL, NBA, MLB, college basketball, and more.
It serves as a data-driven foundation that removes the pure emotion and bias often found in sports fandom, focusing purely on betting value.
Who Is Working on Our AI Picks?
Building a predictive model capable of beating the sportsbooks requires a highly specialized team. Our AI picks are developed and maintained by a dedicated group of software engineers and data scientists.
They are the ones who build the infrastructure, write the code, and ensure the machine learning models run flawlessly. As conditions change in the market, our team is prepared to refine and update the code to match what is required for the model to continue being successful.
However, data science alone isn’t enough to beat the bookies.
That’s why our technical team works together alongside our veteran sports betting experts. These handicappers provide vital oversight, ensuring the algorithm accounts for real-world betting dynamics and works exactly as intended.
It is this unique combination of deep technical expertise and decades of sports betting knowledge that sets our AI apart.
What Data We Use for Our AI Picks and How We Evaluate It
To generate winning picks, our system collects and processes a massive array of major statistics, including core metrics like points scored, points allowed, possession data, and team-specific box score stats. Simply gathering data isn’t enough. Most importantly, it’s all about how that data is evaluated.
Through rigorous testing, our AI team identified the specific box score stats that serve as the “best” indicators for determining the outcome of a game. Instead of simply looking at a team’s season-long averages for these stats, our model utilizes an Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA).
Simply put, EWMA is a statistical calculation used to track trends by averaging data over time, but with a crucial twist, as it affords more weight and importance to the most recent data points.
Unlike a simple moving average where every day carries the same weight, an EWMA reacts much faster to sudden changes because it lets older data points exponentially fade into the background.
By applying an EWMA, our algorithm places a much higher weighted value on a team’s most recent games. The core principle here is to accurately capture a team’s current form. A team’s performance over the last two weeks can be considerably different from how they performed three months ago due to roster shifts, coaching adjustments, or momentum.
If you want to dive deeper into the tools making this possible, you can read our breakdown of AI betting technologies explained.
Check Our Latest AI Picks
Our AI model is constantly churning through the numbers, updating predictions, and finding the best value on the board across all major sports. Don’t leave your bankroll to guesswork. Instead, allow our data-driven insights to do the heavy lifting for your sports picks.
Ready to see what the algorithm is backing today? Head over to The Sports Geek’s AI Picks to get the latest recommendations and start betting smarter.
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