Hugo Awards 2024 Odds: Will Scalzi Win Best Novel?

Hugo Awards 2024 Odds: Will Scalzi Win Best Novel?

As the ceremony for science fiction’s most prestigious award approaches, it’s time for 2024 Hugo Awards predictions. The highly-distinguished award presentation is scheduled for August 11, 2024, in Glasgow, Scotland.

The latest Hugo Awards odds can be found at the best entertainment betting sites. Continue reading to get our full analysis, see the top favorites, and Hugo Awards best bets to win for the major categories!

2024 Hugo Awards Betting Odds and Predictions

The following Hugo Awards 2024 odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Best NovelJohn Scalzi — Starter Villain (+200)Martha Wells — Witch King (+400)
Best FancastJonathan Strahan and Gary K. Wolfe — The Coode Street Podcast (+250)Jonathan Strahan and Gary K. Wolfe — The Coode Street Podcast (+250)
Best Graphic Story or ComicKelly Sue DeConnick — Wonder Women Historia: The Amazons (+250)Kelly Sue DeConnick — Wonder Women Historia: The Amazons (+250)

The betting prices for the Hugo Awards signal we will have a wide-open race for the top awards. John Scalzi’s novel Starter Villain (+200) is the shortest favorite on the board.

Scalzi only has a 33.3% implied probability of winning best novel for Starter Villain, so oddsmakers don’t see a clear runaway winner in any category. Similar to the 2024 Nobel Prize in Literature odds, the top award is up for grabs.

You can find up-to-date odds on the 2024 Hugo Awards at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Entertainment > Hugo Awards.

Ready to play at BetUS?

2024 Hugo Awards Best Bets by Category

Now, let’s delve into my analysis and Hugo Awards predictions for each category available for wagering at online betting sites:

Best Novel Odds and Betting Pick

John Scalzi — Starter Villain+200
Shannon Chakraborty — The Adventures of Amina al-Sirafi+300
Emily Tesh — Some Desperate Glory+350
Ann Leckie — Translation State+400
Martha Wells — Witch King+400
Vajra Chandrasekera — The Saint of Bright Doors+600

Scalzi’s Starter Villain is the top favorite in a category packed with some mediocre work, and a couple of quality novels. The competition is stiff, but I don’t necessarily agree that Scalzi should be favored here.

He is a well-liked and popular author among sci-fi fans. The 55-year-old native of Fairfield, CA, has a strong social media following and is accessible at public events and festivals. Worldcon voters tend to vote for their favorites, so Scalzi is nominated and the betting favorite to win Best Novel!

The sci-fi writer won the Hugo Award for Best Novel in 2013 for Redshirts. Since then, he’s been nominated four times, including last year for The Kaiju Preservation Society. Like last year, Scalzi should come up short of a rival novel.

For the best betting value, consider backing Martha Wells’ Witch King. The easy-to-read novel centers around Kai, the Witch King, and his journey through an otherworldly society that includes demons, mortals, witches, and superbeings.

Kai is not a witch, but rather a demon prince of the underneath.

It’s an easy read for high school-aged students and engaging enough for older novel fans. Witch King has received mixed reviews since it was released in 2023. However, I suspect the accomplished Murderbot author will see plenty of support from the Worldcon voters.

In what is shaping up to be a competitive race, Wells’ Witch King is a solid wager to win the Hugo Award for Best Novel at +400 odds.

The Bet
Witch King

Best Fancast Odds and Betting Pick

Jonathan Strahan and Gary K. Wolfe – The Coode Street+250
Marshall Ryan Maresca – Worldbuilding for Masochi+310
Steven Soderbergh – The Good, the Bad, and the Bloody+350
John Coxon, Alison Scott, and Liz Batty – Octothrop+380
Buma, Liu Lu, and Liu Chang – Science Fiction Fans+460
Seth Heasley – Hugos There+500

For our next 2024 Hugo Awards betting pick, I am analyzing the nominations in the Best Fancast category. This is a unique category honoring the best fan-made broadcast, typically a podcast, in the sci-fi and fantasy genres.

Although I don’t like the betting favorite in the Best Novel category, Jonathan Strahan and Gary K. Wolfe’s The Coode Street Podcast is the clear front-runner in the fancast category. Strahan and Wolfe are both accomplished editors and critics.

Currently, Dr. Wolfe is a Professor of Humanities at Roosevelt University’s Evelyn T. Stone College of Professional Studies. He’s won the Pilgrim Award, Distinguished Scholarship Award, Eaton Award, and British Science Fiction Association Award, among others!

Likewise, Strahan is an award-winning editor and book reviewer. The Coode Street Podcast is far more than just a critique and an inside look at sci-fi books from fans. Wolfe and Strahan are both accomplished and well-versed in the subject matter.

Sci-fi fans can learn a lot from simply listening to Wolfe and Strahan’s discourse. The Worldcon faithful likely views The Coode Street Podcast similarly, so I suggest a bet on this engaging podcast to win the Best Fancast honors.

The Bet
The Coode Street Podcast

Best Graphic Story or Comic Odds and Betting Pick

Kelly Sue DeConnick – Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons+250
Brian K. Vaughan – Saga 2+350
Can Jin – The Three Body Problem+350
Deena Mohamed – Shubeik Lubeik+360
Paul Cornell – The Witches of World War II+360
Zach Weinersmith – Bea Wolf+400

The Hugo Award in the Graphic Story or Comic is another competitive category. According to the latest Hugo Awards 2024 odds, Kelly Sue DeConnick’s Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons is the most likely winner.

The DC Comics’ Black Label publication is seeing plenty of love from the public. With terrific reviews from the public and critics alike, Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons is in the driver’s seat to win this award.

Based on a warrior queen named Hippolyta and her experience with the Amazons in an arcadia and turbulent society among the gods, the comic has been incredibly well-received.

Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons has a 4.8/5 rating on Amazon, 4.5/5 on Goodreads, and 97% of readers liked the comic on Google Books. If anything, artist Phil Jiminez’s work is outstanding enough to give this one a look.

The odds don’t give DeConnick’s work enough credit here. In my opinion, I have Wonder Woman History: The Amazons as a +150 favorite, so there is definite value in winning this category at +250!

The Bet
Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons

Best Betting Site for the Hugo Awards

BetUS is your best option for wagering on the most popular awards shows, including the 2024 Hugo Awards. With Hugo Awards odds for the major categories on August 11 in Glasgow, you can pick your favorite or play the entire board at BetUS!

BetUS is offering new customers two tremendous sign-up bonuses. Deposit at BetUS to get a 125% (25% casino) match bonus of up to $3,125 on your first three deposits. For an even larger bonus, deposit with cryptocurrency to score an incredible 200% (50% casino) match bonus of up to $5,000 and 30-risk free bets!

Welcome Bonus

200% up to $5,000
  • Three decades of experience
  • Big welcome bonus worth up to $3,125
  • Thousands of sports betting options
About the Author
Kyle Eve profile picture
Kyle Eve
Sports/Casino Writer
Blog and News
FaceBook Twitter
Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *