WNBA Betting Picks: Predictions for Monday, July 6

The Golden State Valkyries are rolling right now. They’ve won four straight, and the engine driving that run is the league’s best defense, a unit that makes life miserable for opposing offenses night after night. When you pair elite defensive play with genuine momentum, you have a team that covers spreads. That’s not a hunch. That’s a pattern.

.@gabbywilliams15 with the TOUGH take for the three-point play 🗣️ pic.twitter.com/MV576BgIt3

— Golden State Valkyries (@valkyries) July 4, 2026

Gabby Williams has been a standout performer during this stretch, and her impact on both ends of the floor gives Golden State a matchup advantage that Washington simply can’t replicate. The Mystics have gone just 2-2 over their last four games, and their offense has been inconsistent, which is exactly the kind of unit a top-tier defense feasts on. Washington is also just 4-4 at home, meaning their court advantage isn’t the equalizer it would be for a stronger team.

The juice on the Mystics’ side is -115 at WNBA betting sites, meaning you’d pay more to take the points with Washington than to lay the spread with Golden State at -105. The market is essentially telling you the Valkyries are the right side here, and we agree. 6.5 points is a reasonable number to ask a four-game winning streak team to cover against a shaky Mystics’ squad.

The Minnesota Lynx are the class of the WNBA right now. Sitting at 15-5 on the season, which is the best record in the league, they’ve built a team that ranks second in both scoring and points allowed. That kind of two-way dominance is rare, and it’s even more impressive when you consider they’ve produced those numbers without Napheesa Collier, one of the league’s premier players. At home, they’re 6-3 straight up, as well as against the spread.

getting flashy with it. pic.twitter.com/rlFNzxL4gX

— Minnesota Lynx (@minnesotalynx) July 4, 2026

The Connecticut Sun are in rough shape. Their 4-16 record is the worst in the league, and their offense ranks dead last. On the road, they’re 1-8 straight up, so they’ve barely won a single game away from home all season. Traveling into Minnesota to face the league’s top team is about as tough a spot as it gets for a struggling squad like this one.

13.5 points is a big number, no question. But when you’re matching the league’s best team against the league’s worst offense in a home setting, the math works. Minnesota has the firepower to pull away early and keep the foot on the gas. Connecticut simply doesn’t have the offensive tools to keep this one close.