As Jeff Probst and 18 new castaways prepare for the 46th season of Survivor, entertainment betting sites have released their latest round of Survivor odds.
The hit CBS reality TV show returns to Fiji for another season of the ultimate outdoor survival contest. Read on for everything you need to know about betting on Survivor 46.
Note: We will update the Survivor odds and predictions every Thursday after each week’s episode, so stay tuned!
Survivor Season 46 Odds and Prediction After the Latest Episode
We will be adding the updated odds, analysis, and prediction after each episode here, so you will continue to have fresh information as the season progresses!
Here are the odds, courtesy of BetOnline after episode 11:
| CASTAWAY | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kenzie Petty | -300 |
| Charlie Davis | +220 |
| Maria Shrime Gonzalez | +500 |
| Liz Wilcox | +1000 |
| Q Burdette | +1400 |
| Ben Katzman | +1600 |
Following another trip to Tribal Council, Survivor Season 46 is down to just six players. We started with 18 castaways in Fiji, and now the final stretch is in view. After episode 11, the Survivor 46 odds have not changed from last week.
Kenzie Petty (-300) remains the favorite to win Survivor Season 46. Petty’s price of -300 suggests she is a fairly heavy favorite to win this season. She has a 75% implied probability of winning Survivor, according to the oddsmakers.
Aside from Petty, Charlie Davis (+225) still has the second-shortest price. At +225, he has a 30.8% probability, so Petty is the only castaway with a higher than 50% chance to win the game. Currently, Ben Katzman has the worst odds at +1600. His fans aren’t going to like to hear that he has just a 5.9% implied probability of winning Survivor 46.
Survivor Episode 11 Recap and Betting Pick
In typical Survivor Season 46 fashion, there was another blindside and an immunity idol that wasn’t played at Tribal Council. This group is allergic to using their idols!
We haven’t seen another season in the show’s history with so many castaways voted off with an idol. There is a point where being too comfortable backfires.
Too many players have trusted their supposed allies and don’t think of a blindside. Not playing an idol at this stage of the game is a foolish strategy. After the castaways went on an expedition to look for the hidden immunity, Venus Vafa found it, stashed the idol, and continued to “search”.
Automatic safety was up for grabs at the immunity challenge, which asked players to balance a ball across a “snake” track. Maria Shrime Gonzalez ultimately prevailed and was safe from elimination.
Gonzalez also received a food reward for winning. She had the option of choosing two players to join her to eat fresh food. After selecting Katzman as her first pick, she told Q Burdette and Liz Wilcox to duel in a game of rock-paper-scissors.
Liz: I'm really hungry & I didn't get to eat last week, pick me please
Maria: #Survivor #Survivor46 pic.twitter.com/5t7PdS1Dud
— Zack (@_czack96) May 9, 2024
With Burdette winning, Wilcox loses out on food for another day, though she didn’t go on an epic rant this time. Back at camp, the players strategized who should be voted out.
They proposed the idea of getting rid of Gonzalez’s No. 1 ally, Burdette. However, he survived after being a major target for another week. Vafa got blindsided at Tribal Council and was sent to the jury with an idol in her pocket.
Petty lost an ally with this move, but is still the odds-on favorite to win Survivor 46. She could be due for an unexpected blindside in the coming episodes, and there is no value at -300 odds.
Gonzalez is playing the game hard, strategizing, and winning challenges. Additionally, she has a solid supporting cast with Burdette and Davis, so she is the best bet on the board to win at +500.
Survivor 46 Tribes and Contestants
Before revealing our Survivor 46 prediction, we offer our analysis of the top castaways that you should consider betting on at online betting sites.
But, first, when does Survivor start? On Wednesday, February 28, 2024, the first episode of Survivor season 46 will air from 8-10 p.m. ET on CBS.
Nami Tribe (Orange)
According to BetOnline’s Survivor betting odds, the winner of Survivor 46 was projected to emerge from the Nami Tribe. At even money, the Survivor 46 champion was favored to be from the Nami Tribe when the odds opened.
Nami Tribe Members:
- Tevin Davis (24) – Actor
- Venus Vafa (24) – Data analyst
- Soda Thompson (27) – Special education teacher
- Hunter McKnight (28) – Science teacher
- Liz Wilcox (35) – Marketing strategist
- Randen Montalvo (41) – Aerospace tech
Siga Tribe (Green)
The Siga Tribe had the second-best odds to win Survivor 46. At +150, the implied probability of the winner coming from the Siga Tribe was 40%.
Siga Tribe Members:
- Charlie Davis (26) – Law student
- Moriah Gaynor (28) – Program coordinator
- Tim Spicer (31) – College academic’s coach
- Ben Katzman (31) – Musician
- Jemila Hussain-Adams (32) – International brand mentor
- Maria Shrime Gonzalez (48) – Parent coach
Yanu Tribe (Purple)
Yanu opened with the longest odds of the three tribes.The Yanu Tribe has an implied probability of 35.7% to win Survivor 46.
Yanu Tribe Members:
- David Jelinsky (22) – Slot machine salesman
- Kenzie Petty (29) – Salon owner
- Quintavius “Q” Burdette (29) – Real estate agent
- Tiffany Nicole Ervin (33) – Artist
- Jessica Chong (37) – Software engineer
- Bhanu Gopal (41) – IT quality analyst
Survivor Betting Tips
There are a few valuable Survivor betting tips that you should know before locking in your wagers:
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Selecting the Survivor winner is only one part of the equation. If you don’t feel confident in picking a champion or you want to add to your betting card, consider wagering on the array of prop bets available at safe betting sites.
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Fortunately, the Survivor pre-season is not the only time to place your bets. After the first episode, you can continue to bet on Survivor as the game progresses.
We recommend monitoring the Survivor betting odds on a weekly basis. There will be opportunities where there is strong betting value on the board.
If your pick loses early in the season, or you have a change of heart, you can make another bet to support your new Survivor predictions.
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Since you can bet on Survivor, right down to the Final Tribal Council, it’s important to watch every episode so you are aware of how things are progressing.
Betting blindly, without knowing how alliance strategies are unfolding, is unwise. If you don’t have the time to watch an episode, ensure that you get a review of what happened from a trusted source.
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Most Survivor bettors will likely automatically side with the betting favorite. The most popular castaway is usually the favorite to win. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean that they are the best Survivor player.
We recommend looking for dark horses who float under the radar that have stronger odds.
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Line shopping is important to get the best value on your Survivor bets. Make sure to check different online sportsbooks for sites that yield the best payouts on your bet.
We suggest having accounts at two or three Survivor betting sites.
Where To Bet On Survivor
There are tons of odds available on reality TV and entertainment events, and we advise betting on Survivor at BetOnline and BetUS. As two of the most reliable online betting sites, you will enjoy a quality experience at both sportsbooks.
For a limited time, BetOnline is offering a 50% match bonus of up to $1,000 on first-time deposits. At BetUS, new customers are eligible for a 100% match bonus of up to $2,500 on their first three deposits!
Types of Survivor Bets
Bettors are not restricted to only betting on the Survivor winner. We encourage you to take advantage of unique Survivor prop bets, including:
- Sex of Winner
- Top 4 Finalists
- Tribe of Winner
Survivor Season 46: Who Will You Bet On To Win?
Our Survivor betting strategy is to place a pre-season pick on Hussain-Adams, watch the action weekly, and wait for the right time to make an in-season wager.
You can add more to your original wager on a sneaky underdog that garners favorable value and monitor the Survivor odds while the season is underway at BetUS and BetOnline.
So, who is your best Survivor 46 pick to win? If you’re confident, don’t forget to place your bets and cash in on the 46th season of Survivor.
