Nobel Prize In Literature 2024 Betting Odds and Predictions

Nobel Prize In Literature 2024 Betting Odds and Predictions

It’s time to make your early Nobel Prize in Literature predictions! The winner announcement is still far away, the entertainment betting sites already offer odds and the early prices often deliver the best value.

I go through the Nobel Prize Literature odds in this article, highlighting the main favorites and evaluating their chances. I already did this for the Nobel Peace Prize , so check that one out, too.

Without further ado, let’s dive into the Literature category.


Nobel Prize Literature 2024 Betting Odds

The following 2024 Nobel Literature odds are courtesy of BetUS:

WINNERODDS
Can Xue+330
Gerald Murnane+420
Mircea Cărtărescu+650
Lyudmila Ulitskaya+750
Anne Carson+850
Thomas Pynchon+850
Ngugi Wa Thiong’o+1300
César Aira+1300
Haruki Murakami+1300
Laszlo Krasznahorkai+1500

The latest betting odds for the Nobel Prize in Literature point to 70-year-old Chinese author Can Xue (+330) as the favorite. The writer’s price of +330 equals an implied probability of 23.3%.

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At +330, there isn’t a convincing favorite on the board to win the Nobel Prize in Literature. Australian novelist and poet, Gerald Murnane, and Xue are the only writers with odds below +500 at BetUS.

That is a reliable indicator that we will have a wide-open race for the Nobel Prize in Literature this season. That opens the door to some betting picks with high returns, so let’s discuss the favorites next.

Can Xue (+330)

Xue was regarded as one of the favorites to win the Nobel Prize in Literature last year. However, Norwegian Jon Fosse picked up the win for his work on developing innovative plays and prose. He was not considered a favorite, but he won regardless.

Nevertheless, Xue hasn’t been shut out from winning major awards during her illustrious writing career. The Chinese author was a two-time International Booker Prize long-listed writer in 2021 and 2019. Additionally, she captured the 2015 Best Translated Book Award for her fiction book The Last Lover.

Several of Xue’s novels have been translated from Chinese to English, many of which were critically acclaimed. According to her younger sister, she lived a tough life growing up, which included working as a mill worker for eight years.

Nevertheless, she spent hours reading foreign literature and learning languages. As a result, Xue’s writing includes a flare of Western modern literature, while delving into her life experiences in Chinese culture.

Her fiction novels can be described as distinct and unlike any other writer’s publications. After coming up just short of the Nobel Prize in Literature last year, Xue must be considered a front-runner in 2024. And yet, the odds are fairly short for my taste.

Gerald Murnane (+420)

Gerald Murnane’s career dates back to the 1970s. The 85-year-old native of Coburg, Australia, was first noticed for Tamarisk Row and A Lifetime on Clouds.

While working as a creative writing teacher, Murnane’s career blossomed in the 1980s. He would release his most well-known novel in 1982 with The Plains. Even decades later, The Plains is still talked about among book readers.

This success launched Murnane’s forward, where only six years later, he wrote another compelling novel that received rave reviews, Inland. After a long break from writing fiction novels, Murnane released Barley Patch in 2009.

In total, Murnane has published 13 books in his writing career, while developing a cult following of literary fans along the way since the 1970s.

In 2018, Murnane was rewarded with the Prime Minister’s Literary Awards. He most certainly deserves the Nobel Prize in Literature, but I don’t know if there will be enough votes for him. Only consider Murnane’s odds if they are +700 or better, but the +420 or as at sports betting sites is not worth it.

Mircea Cărtărescu (+650)

There were fiction enthusiasts who believed Mircea Cărtărescu’s time was coming last year. Despite a strong push in October, he didn’t have enough to get past Josse.

It wasn’t meant to be, but Cărtărescu’s moment is likely coming. It’s more a matter of pinpointing when the Romanian novelist will receive the call for this ultimate honor. According to the latest Nobel Peace Literature 2024 odds, Cărtărescu has a 13.3% chance to win at +650.

The 67-year-old has written some of the most well-known fiction tales since beginning his career as an author in the late 1970s. In addition to his fictional novels, Cărtărescu has published world-renowned poetry, essays, and prose.

Cărtărescu’s list of awards is quite extensive, which includes dozens of honors from 1980 to as early as March 2024. Most recently, he captured the International Premio Mondello award in Italy and was honored by Moldova.

Currently, Cărtărescu continues to write and works as a professor in the Department of Literary Studies at the University of Bucharest. With one of the longest resumes and awards of the nominees in 2024, Cărtărescu is an instant contender!


Dark Horses for the Nobel Prize in Literature 2024

There are two sleepers you should consider for your Nobel Prize Literature 2024 predictions:

  1. No dark horse shortlist for the Nobel Prize in Literature would be complete without Laszlo Krasznahorkai. The 70-year-old from Hungary is widely regarded as one of the most powerful, mysterious, and dark-themed authors in Europe.

    Despite being known as the “Hungarian master of the apocalypse”, the 2015 Booker Prize winner is incredibly diverse and much more than just an apocalypse writer. He has the talent to seamlessly switch from dark undertones in his novels to deep essays and screenplay writing.

    Kraszahorkai’s Nobel Prize in Literature odds are a serious bargain play at +1500. He should be closer to +600, with an implied probability of 14.3% rather than 6.3%, in this instance.

  2. Will 74-year-old Antiguan writer Jamaica Kincaid finally earn her stripes from the Swedish Academy?

    Primarily focusing on non-fiction, Kincaid’s work can be described as autobiographical in nature. However, she has stressed that she isn’t writing about her life, covering an incredible number of different themes and topics.

    Racism, colonialism, imperialism, sexuality, class, and death are all recognized in her publications, among many others. Additionally, as an avid gardener, Kincaid has written extensively about gardening.

    Kincaid earned her first accolades in the 1980s and continues to receive awards to this day. On April 12, 2022, she was presented with The Paris Review Lifetime Achievement Award. At +2000, it’s certainly worth making a small bet on Kincaid.


Nobel Prize in Literature 2024 Predictions and Betting Pick

Who will win the Nobel Prize in Literature in 2024? Numerous writers from throughout the world deserve to be honored with a Nobel Prize in Literature, but only one is selected each year. The way I see it, Cărtărescu’s time is likely approaching soon!

The Romanian author earned his first award for his writing in the 1970s. Over four decades later, he is still getting recognition.

Whether you are looking for a good poem, essay, or non-fiction novel, Cărtărescu has something for everyone. Now would be a good time for him to receive the prestigious honor of the Nobel Prize in Literature.

He’s been in the running in recent years, and I feel it’s only a matter of time before it happens. In conclusion, Cărtărescu is the best bet on the board to win the Nobel Prize in Literature at BetUS.

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Mircea Cărtărescu

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Sources

  1. Can Xue | The Booker Prizes. Retrieved From “https://thebookerprizes.com/the-booker-library/authors/can-xue

  2. Can Xue, Rocio Ceron win 2015 Best Translated Book Awards | Rochester University. Retrieved From “https://www.rochester.edu/newscenter/can-xue-rocio-ceron-win-2015-best-translated-book-awards-105562/

  3. Author Can Xue forges her own artistic path | China Daily. Retrieved From “https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201910/11/WS5d9fcc86a310cf3e3556fcf4.html

  4. Gerald Murnane Book List | FictionDB. Retrieved From “https://www.fictiondb.com/author/gerald-murnane~57677.htm

  5. Gerald Murnane and Brian Castro win 2018 Prime Minister’s Literary Awards | Giramondo Publishing. Retrieved From “https://giramondopublishing.com/giramondo-authors-win-2018-prime-ministers-literary-awards/

  6. Romanian writer Mircea Cartarescu honored with International Permio Mondello | Business Review. Retrieved From “https://business-review.eu/news/romanian-writer-mircea-cartarescu-honored-with-international-premio-mondello-258768

  7. The Paris Review – Jamaica Kincaid Will Receive Our 2022 Hadada Award | The Paris Review. Retrieved From “https://www.theparisreview.org/blog/2021/12/02/jamaica-kincaid-will-receive-our-2022-hadada-award/

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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