Who will hit a home run today in the MLB? Check our best HR bets today to find out! Our experts go through the odds of the best MLB betting sites on any given night to discover the most valuable HR prop bets available.
They pick the best bets to hit a home run based on factors such as stats, recent trends, ballpark analysis, and more. We explain our approach in detail below, in case you want to build your own HR betting strategy.
If you simply want predictions, the table below features our best home run prop picks tonight (updated every single day, similarly to our NRFI picks)
Best Home Run Predictions Today, June 15
| HOME RUN BETS | ODDS | BOOKMAKER |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | +375 | Bovada |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | +600 | Bovada |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | +500 | Bovada |
Our Best Bets to Hit a Home Run Today for June 15 (With Reasoning)
After checking the latest odds for home run prop picks today, we have selected the following best HR bets for June 15:
Spencer Torkelson (+375) – Detroit Tigers
The Tigers welcome the Reds back to Comerica Park for the series finale in downtown Detroit. 38-year-old veteran Wade Miley is expected to receive the starting call for the Reds on the road.
Miley pitched in just two games a season ago due to an elbow injury. He had to undergo Tommy John surgery to repair the injury and finally made it back on the mound recently. However, it’s been a rude welcome back for Miley, as his velocity is down and he has a 9.00 ERA and 2.14 WHIP through seven innings.
Expect the Tigers to punish Miley in the batter’s box on Sunday. Spencer Torkelson is a Tiger with a solid chance to go deep against Miley. Torkelson is at the top of the Tigers’ home run list with 16 long balls in 2025.
TORK BOMB #VoteTigers ⭐️ https://t.co/JrsIBeU1cG pic.twitter.com/29WkCjGDmm
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) June 10, 2025
The former No. 1 pick enters this one with a .237 batting average and 16 homers in 68 games. Note that Torkelson has dispatched two deep bombs over his previous seven outings on the diamond. At +375 odds, Torkelson is one of the best bets to hit a home run today!
Cody Bellinger (+600) – New York Yankees
Cody Bellinger steps into the batter’s box looking across at a pitcher he’s made pay in the past. The Red Sox are slated to assign Brayan Bello to the starting bump for this one.
Bello has been taken for a ride against Bellinger in just three at-bats. Bellinger has two home runs versus Bello in the short time that they’ve seen each other on the diamond. Look for Bellinger to win the battle again in Sunday’s matchup.
Cody Bellinger hits his 200th career HR 🔥
Watch on YES & The Gotham Sports App: https://t.co/sWMqNZ0hci pic.twitter.com/w6iSmjDlVN
— YES Network (@YESNetwork) May 4, 2025
Overall, Bellinger has gone yard nine times in 63 matchups in 2025. He most recently hit a long ball on June 5 against the Cleveland Guardians.
With Bello on the mound, Bellinger is a fantastic home run prop bet at +600!
Rhys Hoskins (+500) – Milwaukee Brewers
Before wrapping up your home run prop picks today, I suggest taking a look at Rhys Hoskins’ odds at +500. Hoskins enters today’s contest against the Cardinals with a .244 batting average and 10 home runs.
What a homecoming for Rhys Hoskins!
His 2nd home run of the day gives him 6 RBI 🤯 pic.twitter.com/z8C4EP2ezt
— MLB (@MLB) May 31, 2025
The 32-year-old Sacramento native has a solid history against Cardinals’ starter Miles Mikolas. Hoskins has connected for two home runs and 17 at-bats versus Mikolas, who is struggling to keep the ball in the park as of late.
Mikolas carries a 4.48 ERA and 1.31 WHIP through 13 games and 66.1 innings. He has gotten tagged for homers in back-to-back starts and three of his previous four showings since May 23.
In other words, Hoskins is worth a look for your MLB home run prop bets at +500!
How We Pick the Best Picks to Hit a Home Run Tonight?
Consistently picking the best home run props on any given MLB night is challenging and requires a strategic approach. We go through various factors to determine if an HR wager is worth it.
Here’s exactly how we do that:
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We always start with the obvious – individual hitting stats that show us the chances of any player to deliver home runs in the first place. We go through long-term data like career records and season-to-date, but also check the most recent trends.
That last part helps us determine whether a player is performing as expected. Sometimes, injuries, fatigue, age, and other negative factors could lead to drop-offs. On other occasions, players might be doing better than expected.
You always want to know both the big picture and the latest developments to find the best home run picks on any given day. The HR numbers are easily available in many sources, including the official MLB home run page.
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The batting averages and HR stats are critical, but the opposing pitchers are equally important. Check who’s going to start and evaluate any potential pitchers that could be involved, including both starters and relievers.
Again, a reasonable combination of long and short-term numbers will help you paint a clear picture of where the pitchers stand right now.
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The duels between pitchers and batters often come with a story. Certain players thrive against specific opponents and struggle against others. If you’re going to bet money on home run picks daily, you need to know about that.
Exploring previous meetings between the teams or the starting pitcher and batter in question is an easy way to spot any important trends that might affect the next battle between them.
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Every ballpark in the MLB is unique, affecting the teams’ chances to score home runs. The dimensions and the weather are the most obvious reasons that HR rates vary from pitch to pitch.
That’s why you should consider the ballpark. You can find stats in different places online, but our team usually checks the OnlyHomers.com standings.
The next thing we do is to explore the weather reports, since the conditions dictate our home run bets of the day, too.
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If you want to get the highest betting value for your daily home run predictions, you should always compare the odds of multiple bookmakers and grab the best price possible.
The differences might look negligible but getting a few percentages higher returns on every successful HR pick could be the difference between winning and losing in the long run.
At the same time, you can’t go to every top-rated betting site online. Picking two or three reliable options is the sensible approach, which is why we compare the odds of Bovada, BetUS, and Betwhale.
Here’s how to find the home run prop bets on each site.
- Bovada: Sports > Baseball > MLB > Matchup of Choice – Bets > Player Props.
- BetUS: Sportsbook > Baseball > MLB Props > Matchup of Choice.
- BetWhale: Sportsbook > Baseball > MLB > Matchup of Choice > Player.
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