The PGA Tour heads to Bermuda this week for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, with Port Royal Golf Course hosting the action. It’s a venue that offers a different test to some of the courses we see on Tour, and one where I think course management, accuracy and a strong week on the greens could be key to finding the winner.
Before I provide more details on the course, here’s a quick overview of my Butterfield Bermuda Championship 2026 best bets to win this weekend.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Best Bets: Ginger Joe’s Squad Overview
| Contestant | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ben Kohles | +3000 |
| Seamus Power | +2800 |
| Neal Shipley | +3000 |
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Course Analysis
Port Royal is a par-71 measuring 6,828 yards, and I think we could see some decent scoring if the conditions are kind. It’s a shorter test by PGA Tour standards, which should give plenty of players the chance to attack, but the coastal setting can make club selection tricky and put a premium on distance control.
I think the key will be taking advantage of the scoring opportunities when they come along, while avoiding the costly mistakes that can quickly undo a good round.
Course fit is important here, and I’d be looking towards players who can keep the ball in play and give themselves plenty of opportunities from the fairway. Driving accuracy is worth considering, particularly with the rough capable of making life difficult, but I wouldn’t completely rule out the longer hitters if they’re striking it well and finding enough fairways.
Approach play is another area I’d be paying close attention to. Players who are dialled in with their irons and consistently hitting greens should give themselves a good platform to score. This is a relatively short course by PGA Tour standards, so creating birdie opportunities is going to be essential, especially if the conditions allow the field to get aggressive.
Putting on Bermuda greens is another factor I like to consider here. With plenty of players capable of producing good approach numbers, a hot putter could make the difference. I’d be looking for players who are comfortable in Bermuda and have shown they can convert their chances when the opportunities come along.
The weather is always worth keeping an eye on in Bermuda, too. If the wind gets up, this becomes a very different test, and players who can flight the ball, stay patient and manage their way around the course could have a real advantage. It’s also worth monitoring the tee times if the forecast suggests one side of the draw could get more favourable conditions.
Looking at the past winners, we’ve seen a mixture of players succeed here, including Brendon Todd, Seamus Power, Camilo Villegas, Rafael Campos and last year’s champion, Adam Schenk. That suggests there isn’t just one route to winning, but I do think a good short game, solid iron play and the ability to take advantage of the scoring holes are important ingredients.
My approach this week is to prioritise current approach form, driving accuracy, Bermuda putting and course history, while keeping one eye on the weather. I don’t think raw distance needs to be the main consideration, and I’d rather side with players who look comfortable controlling their game and can take advantage of the birdie chances on offer.
It’s another event where I think there could be some value away from the obvious names, particularly if we can find players whose games suit the venue and who are showing signs of finding form at the right time. From now on, I will be highlighting more stats out there for those that like the numbers to back up their selections.
Let’s get into the squad now then!
1. Ben Kohles (+3000)
Ben Kohles is the statistical play that interests me most this week, particularly because of the quality of his approach game. He is gaining strokes per round on approach, ranking first on Tour, and he also gains +1.063 strokes from tee to green, ranking ninth. Those are excellent numbers and suggest he has the ball-striking to compete highly in this field.
His accuracy is another major positive. Kohles is hitting 79.67% of fairways, ranking first in the current statistics, while averaging 294.8 yards off the tee. He might not have the same distance as some bigger hitters, but he is consistently finding the short grass and giving himself opportunities to attack the greens. At Port Royal, that combination of accuracy and quality iron play could be particularly valuable.
His recent form also offers encouragement, with a tied 3rd at the John Deere Classic, ninth at the 3M Open, tied 13th at the Bank of Utah Championship and tied 17th at the Baycurrent Classic. He has made 12 cuts from 14 starts in 2026, showing a level of consistency that gives him a solid platform heading into the week, and I need that whilst searching for my first winner in a couple of months.
The concern is his previous course record in Bermuda, which has not been particularly impressive, and he is still searching for his first PGA Tour victory. However, his underlying statistics are strong enough to suggest he can compete if he adapts well to the conditions. If the approach play continues at its current level, he has the potential to outperform his price and make a serious run up the leaderboard.
For me, Kohles is an appealing each-way option at golf betting sites because his numbers suggest his game is good enough to compete, and his recent results suggest a win is incoming!
2. Seamus Power (+2800)
Seamus Power is one of the most interesting course history plays in the field this week. He won the Bermuda Championship in 2022 and has made the cut in all six of his appearances at Port Royal, which gives him a proven record around a course that can be difficult to navigate in the wind. That experience is a major positive, particularly when looking for a player who can put four rounds together and remain competitive.
His 2026 statistics show that the short game remains a strength. He is gaining +0.495 strokes per round putting, ranking 11th on Tour, while his scrambling percentage of 64.46% ranks 13th. He is also averaging 4.14 birdies per round, showing that he still has the scoring ability to compete when his game comes together. Those numbers give him a route to a strong finish, even if his approach play has not been at its best throughout the season.
The main concern is his ball-striking, with Power losing strokes both off the tee and on approach in the current statistics. He will need to improve that side of his game to challenge for the title, but his putting and scrambling can help him stay in contention when he misses greens or finds himself in difficult positions.
Given his record at Port Royal and the quality of his short game, Seamus Power makes plenty of appeal as an each-way selection. He knows how to win here, and if his irons cooperate this week, he has the experience and scoring ability to put himself in the mix again.
3. Neal Shipley (+3000)
Neal Shipley is an interesting each-way play for me this week, arriving in Bermuda off the back of two strong results in the FedEx Cup Fall Series. He finished third at the Biltmore Championship before following that up with a tied 10th at the Bank of Utah Championship, showing a significant improvement in form after a difficult start to the season.
One of the biggest positives is his driving. He is averaging +0.786 strokes gained off the tee, ranking first on Tour, while hitting 70.02% of fairways. That gives him a strong foundation to build on at Port Royal, where keeping the ball in play and managing the exposed coastal holes will be important. His ability to combine distance with accuracy is a real positive heading into the week.
The concern is that his approach play and putting have been inconsistent across the season, so there is still work to do if he is going to challenge for the win. Still, he is in great form of late, so perhaps that’s one where the numbers may not give the full picture of his current form.
The recent finishes suggest his game is moving in the right direction. If he can carry that momentum into Bermuda while getting a little more out of his irons, he has the potential to be competitive again, and the bookies are aware of this too based on his price.
With his driving numbers and recent results, Shipley is worth considering this week. He has shown he can contend in this field, and another strong week would not come as a surprise. Whilst he is in form, he is a man to side with.
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