Eurovision 2024 Betting Odds and Predictions

One year after nailing my Eurovision predictions on Sweden taking the crown, I’m back with the highly anticipated 2024 Eurovision betting odds, hoping for more of the same!

In 2024, 37 countries will participate in the Eurovision Song Contest. Romania has opted out, while Luxembourg is back for the first time in over 30 years¹. 

Before proceeding, we recommend accessing our Eurovision betting guide to learn how to bet on Eurovision and much more. Now, let’s delve into the latest Eurovision 2024 odds available at the best entertainment betting sites.

Eurovision 2024 Odds

The following betting odds for Eurovision are courtesy of BetUS:

Since my last update on March 7, Switzerland (+200) has sprinted to the top of the odds at BetUS. As a +200 favorite, Switzerland has an implied probability of winning Eurovision 2024 of 33.3%.

In March, Switzerland, represented by Nemo, was a sleeper. The country wasn’t even in the top 10 Eurovision 2024 odds in the first week of March. Conversely, Ukraine’s odds have reversed, as they were a +240 favorite last month and now have the fifth-best odds to win Eurovision 2024. At +800, Ukraine has an implied chance to win of 11.1%.

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Eurovision 2024 Betting Favorite: Switzerland (+200)

Nemo has Switzerland squarely on the map at Eurovision 2024. According to the latest projections, the artist is expected to carry his country into the finals in Malmö Arena.

The 24-year-old rapper and singer has taken the European music industry by storm for his unique style. There isn’t a box that you can fit Nemo music into. There are elements of rap, pop, electronic, and even hints of funk and jazz!

Take, for instance, Nemo’s “The Code”, which Switzerland is entering into the Song Contest. There isn’t a category that the song fits into, but will this effort resonate with the jury?

Young voters should flock to Nemo in the televoting. They will appreciate his unique style and talent, but when he needs more votes later in the competition, it could be a tough go.

That said, a few of the top favorites, including Croatia and the Netherlands, have unique songs that aren’t necessarily worldwide mainstream radio hits.

An appearance in the Grand Final is high, but I am not convinced enough to bet on Switzerland as the betting favorite. There is stronger value on the board at the sports betting sites for Eurovision 2024.

Eurovision 2024 Best Value Bet: Italy (+450)

In my estimation, the safest bet on the board is Italy at +450. If you want the prototypical talented pop singer, then Italy’s Angelina Mango is your pick.

Despite having the third-shortest odds on the board, Italy has some value at this price. Is she as strong a performer as Loreen with “Tattoo” last year? Nope, but no country is on Loreen’s level this year.

The song was in a whole different ballpark and would have crashed through this competition in 2024. That said, Italy’s Mango would be the closest contender next to Loreen.

From the televoting stage to the jury, Italy should do well all across the board. Although “La noia” is in Italian and most voters won’t understand the lyrics, it’s a song that makes for easy listening and to dance to as well! Let’s not forget that Maneskin won with a song in Italian a few years ago, too, so the language shouldn’t be an issue.

Additionally, Mango’s presence with the orchestra earns top marks. Switzerland will put on a show, though Italy’s effort feels right on point for what viewers are looking for. Everything considered, Italy is a threat to win and a top value bet at +450.

Eurovision 2024 Best Longshot Bet: Norway (+4000)

Much to my surprise, Norway has +4000 odds to win Eurovision 2024. This equals an implied probability of only 2.4% to win, which is bonkers.

In a musical production that should translate well on the big stage, consider including Norway’s Gåte on your shortlist of Eurovision Song Contest bets.

The song “Ulveham” isn’t getting as much hype as the top contenders on social media outlets, but it should garner attention once the band is on the Eurovision stage. Gåte’s stage presence is likely to push this band forward in televoting.

To advance to the Grand Final, it’s important to have a performance that gets the attention of viewers at home. “Ulveham” has the potential to exceed expectations in this regard.

The Norwegian folk-rock band infuses elements of electronica into their songs. Although Gåte’s catalog of music isn’t for everyone, “Ulveham” should appeal to a wide audience at home.

Before confirming your Eurovision betting picks, consider adding a value bet to your card. What constitutes quality betting value? I foresee Norway having a significantly higher chance to win Eurovision 2024 than the 2.4% implied probability indicated by the current odds.

Past Eurovision Song Contest Winners

In 2023, Loreen was the odds-on favorite to win Eurovision 2023 from the initial stages. She stood above the rest for her song “Tattoo”. There were no discernible weaknesses in her performance.

Since 2012, Sweden has won the Euro Song Contest three times, the most during that period. Ukraine has an opportunity to join Sweden with three Eurovision titles within the last ten years.

The country won Eurovision in 2016, 2022, and as the favorite in 2024, is on the verge of grabbing another victory. Let’s look back at the last ten years of Eurovision Song Contest winners since 2014:

Eurovision 2024 Betting Picks and Prediction

For your top Eurovision 2024 pick, consider backing Italy in this spot. While Switzerland and Croatia are ahead of Italy in the Eurovision betting markets, the value proposition isn’t there with the Swiss and Croats!

Not only do you get a top contender on Mango’s voice and stage presence, but she has serious value at +450. For a $100 wager, you can win $450 if Mango leads Italy to a win at Eurovision 2024.

Also, I suggest throwing a small wager on Norway to win at +4000. The Eurovision 2024 odds are stacked against Norway, but I don’t see Gåte as that much of an underdog. Norway’s true price should be closer to +1800 or +1600 instead of +4000.

In review, Italy (+450) and Norway (+4000) are worth betting on to win Eurovision 2024, with the main wager going on the favorite.

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