EURO 2024 Group F Betting Odds: Can Turkey Upset Portugal?

EURO 2024 Group F Betting Odds: Can Turkey Upset Portugal?

As anticipation grows for the soccer event of the summer, the UEFA EURO 2024 Group F odds are available at the leading soccer sportsbooks online!

This one should be a competitive group between three quality teams. Georgia has a tough challenge in Group F, but Portugal, Turkey, and Czechia are all coming to Germany full of hope.

Below, check out the latest odds, best bets, and my EURO 2024 Group F predictions!


EURO 2024 Group F Betting Odds

Portugal is the team to beat in Group F, and the odds confirm that. They are expected to win fairly comfortably over the competition and advantage as the group winner.

Consequently, the talented Portuguese team led by Cristiano Ronaldo has the shortest odds of advantage to the knockouts. However, is there any value in Portugal’s EURO 2024 F Group odds to finish atop the table?

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Group F Winner Odds

The following 2024 European Championship odds are courtesy of Bovada:

TEAMODDS
Portugal-225
Turkey+400
Czechia+550
Georgia+1600

Portugal (-225) is the odds-on favorite to win Group F at EURO 2024. Per their latest price at Bovada, the favorite has an implied probability to win of 69.2%.

That is far from a lock, but they are well-positioned to emerge from the group at the top. Turkey (+400) checks in with the second-shortest Group F betting odds. At +400, the bookie gives them a 20% chance to upset Portugal.

Czechia (+550) and Turkey aren’t that far separate, with the former having a 15.4% implied probability. Georgia (+1600) is well out of the picture, with just a 5.9% chance to win Group F.

To Qualify From F Odds

TEAMODDS
Portugal-2500
Turkey-350
Czechia-135
Georgia-125

As expected, Portugal has the best odds to advance to the knockout stage. It would be a massive shocker if the team chokes so much that they don’t make it out of the group stage.

At -2500, the Portuguese squad has a huge 96.2% implied probability of advancing! Behind Portugal, Turkey has a strong chance as well at -350 odds. In fact, every team in Group F has a greater than 50% chance of qualifying according to the top sports betting sites.


Portugal – Can Ronaldo’s EURO Swan Song End In Gold?

Portugal can make it two European Championship titles in eight years. The talented Portuguese squad, which traditionally struggles to reach expectations at major tournaments, captured the EURO 2016 championship.

In a thrilling spectacle, Eder scored in the 109th minute to give Portugal a 1-0 victory over France. Despite 39-year-old Cristiano Ronaldo not getting any younger, this is a talented team even when he’s off the pitch.

Impact Players

Whenever anyone thinks of Portuguese soccer, the first thought is Ronaldo. Long after he retires, he will be synonymous with the soccer program in Portugal.

However, Portugal is much more than just Ronaldo, as this squad is equipped with the best talent in Group F. Ronaldo could play a background role and Portugal could find success.

Manchester United midfielder Bruno Fernandes spearheads a potent attack for Portugal. The 29-year-old playmaker has a variety of tools in his arsenal that could lead Portugal to an upset win in the EURO 2024 final. AC Milan’s Rafael Leao is another explosive forward on the Portuguese national team.

In addition to a strong offense, Portugal has talent everywhere on the pitch with the likes of Diogo Dalot, Joao Cancelo, Ruben Neves, Bernardo Silva, and Matheus Nunes, among others.

Recent Performances & Team Form

Portugal was a no-show in their latest international competition. In a friendly against Slovenia, they were upset by a score of 2-0. They didn’t look at all interested and did not have a full squad, so there are two ways of looking at the loss.

Prior to this defeat, Portugal was demolishing opponents. They won 11 straight matches with no draws since early 2023! Portugal pounded Sweden for a 5-2 beatdown only days before the loss to the Slovenians1.

Portugal’s Last Five Results:

  • Slovenia 2 – Portugal 0 (March 26, 2024)
  • Portugal 5 – Sweden 2 (March 21, 2024)
  • Portugal 2 – Iceland 0 (Nov. 19, 2023)
  • Portugal 2 – Liechtenstein 0 (Nov. 16, 2023)
  • Portugal 5 – Bosnia and Herzegovina 0 (Oct. 16, 2023)

When Portugal is in their best form and at full strength, they have the talent to beat any team in the world, so finishing at the top of this group is the most likely outcome.


Turkey – Dark Horses of EURO 2024?

Turkey’s EURO 2020 bid ended in disaster after going out in the group stage without earning a single point. Matches against Wales, Switzerland, and Italy all resulted in losses.

This was a team that many fans had as a big dark horse for their European Championship predictions. However, the Turks forgot to play the games and suffered a goal differential of -7!

Three years after that train wreck, is this finally the year that Turkey plays up to expectations? They will have plenty of support from the local Turkish community, so expect the nation to feel at home in Germany.

Impact Players

Turkey has a young core of players who have a chance to be difference makers at EURO 2024. 18-year-old Kenan Yildiz from Juventus could play a significant role, while 19-year-old Arda Güler is prepared to have a breakout party soon as well.

However, for now, this is still Hakan Calhanoglu’s club. The talented 30-year-old is a versatile midfielder for Inter Milan. He’s only seemingly gotten better with age. Calhanoglu has notched 11 goals this season, which breaks his previous career-high.

In addition to the star, Orkun Kokcu and Kerem Akturkoglu will provide solid support on the attack. There is no shortage of firepower here for Turkey.

Recent Performances & Team Form

Turkey didn’t put their best foot forward in friendly competition in March. After a close 1-0 affair versus Hungary, they went down hard in a 6-1 loss to Austria.

However, wins over Croatia in EURO qualifying, 1-0, and over Germany, 3-2, in a friendly lifted the country’s hopes2. Which Turkish squad shows up in Germany?

Turkey’s Last Five Results:

  • Austria 6 – Turkey 1 (March 26, 2024)
  • Hungary 1 – Turkey 0 (March 22, 2024)
  • Turkey 1 – Wales 1 (Nov. 21, 2023)
  • Turkey 3 – Germany 2 (Nov. 18, 2023)
  • Turkey 4 – Latvia 0 (Oct. 15, 2023)

In 2022, Portugal handled Turkey for a 3-1 victory in a qualifying match. I expect a similar result against the favorite, but the other teams in the group are beatable.


Czechia – Ivan Hasek Surprises In First EURO?

Czechia’s Jaroslav Silhavy stepped down from his post as head coach in November. Despite qualifying for the EUROs, Silhavy resigned due to constant criticism from the fan base.

Although Czech fans wish that the EURO 2024 qualification went smoother, this is the eighth straight appearance for the country at the European Championships, so there’s not much room for complaining!

Now, it’s up to former midfielder Ivan Hasek to lead Czechia to the glory land.

Impact Players

Patrik Schick, Tomas Soucek, and Adam Hložek will be depended on heavily for Czechia. They have a fairly formidable core with these three, but I question their depth against Turkey and especially Portugal.

Soucek captains what should be a fairly stingy defense and a midfield eager to support the back line. Soucek currently plays as a defensive midfielder for West Ham United. He is a competent two-player player who can score from set pieces.

Czechia might need him to be everywhere at once in this tournament, though. This is where Schick and Hlozek must be in strong form at EURO 2024.

Czechia’s EUROs 2024 Group F odds don’t give a decent chance to win, and I agree with this sentiment. If Portugal doesn’t win, Turkey has the ability to replace them at the top of the table.

Recent Performances & Team Form

The Czech are on a three-match winning streak, which includes their EURO 2024 clinching win over Moldova, 3-0. In March, the Czech Republic edged out Norway and Armenia for 2-1 wins.

They haven’t lost since a humiliating 3-0 performance versus Albania in October. Following that one, Czechia weren’t at their best in a 1-0 win over Faroe Islands, but they are unbeaten in five3.

Czechia’s Last Five Results:

  • Czechia 2 – Armenia 1 (March 26, 2024)
  • Czechia 2 – Norway 1 (March 22, 2024)
  • Czechia 3 – Moldova 0 (Nov. 20, 2023)
  • Czechia 1 – Poland 1 (Nov. 17, 2023)
  • Czechia 1 – Faroe Islands 0 (Oct. 15, 2023)

Czechia is one of the most inconsistent teams at EURO 2024. They can’t afford any lapses to have a chance to succeed in Group F.


Georgia – Can The Biggest Underdog Shock EURO 2024?

Two teams are tied for the worst odds to win EURO 2024: Albania and Georgia. The former has a stronger chance than the +50000 price indicates, but I think this accurately depicts the Georgians.

Albania got unlucky and drew the “Group of Death”, while Georgia doesn’t have the talent to put a dent in the EURO 2024 Group F odds.

Impact Players

Georgia is not completely void of talent. Valencia’s Giorgi Mamardashvili is one of the finest goalkeepers in Group F. He must play out of his mind in net to advance to the knockout stages.

Additionally, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia must carry the load on offense. His amazing dribbling and creativity will need to be on display multiple times for every game in the group.

A player like Georges Mikautadze has to step up and contribute in elite form or Georgia’s chances will deteriorate rather quickly. In any event, Bovada currently has Georgia at -125 to qualify for the knockouts.

That’s a hard pass in my opinion! This team is not completely doomed, but it will be a huge surprise to see Georgia in the knockouts.

Recent Performances & Team Form

Georgia is coming off a thrilling 0(4) – 0(2) win over Greece to reach EURO 2024. Yes, Greece and Turkey had a chance to be in the same group, but Georgia saved the tournament from upheaval in Germany between Turkish and Greek fans.

The Georgians were also in good form in a critical match against Luxembourg for a 2-0 win five days earlier. Drawing versus Scotland was also a big point for Georgia’s qualification run4.

Georgia’s Last Five Results:

  • Georgia 0 – Greece 0 (March 26, 2024)
  • Georgia 2 – Luxembourg 0 (March 21, 2024)
  • Spain 3 – Georgia 1 (Nov. 19, 2023)
  • Georgia 2 – Scotland 2 (Nov. 16, 2023)
  • Georgia 4 – Cyprus 0 (Oct. 15, 2023)

There are some clutch performances on Georgia’s spring to EURO 2024. They need it to continue in Germany, but the competition will stiffen up.


EURO 2024 Group F Predictions and Best Bets

The way I see it, Group F is simple: If Portugal has all their main pieces healthy and starting, they shouldn’t have trouble in the group stage. They may also go on a deep run at the European Championship crown.

However, Portugal does not have the same roster depth compared to EURO 2024 favorites France and England. If they aren’t healthy, that’s when some doubt could creep in, and even Turkey could have a chance to win Group F.

Still, Portugal has a clear advantage. Turkey is coming on, but they are likely a few years away. Yildiz and Güler are still in their teens. Turkey will be in serious business when those two reach their peak in the coming years.

Nevertheless, Portugal is the team to beat right now, as their core brings too much talent to the equation in Group F. I recommend backing Portugal to win Group F at -225 odds, since this team is much better than the competition.

The Bet
Portugal To Win Group F

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Sources:

  1. Portugal Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/482/por

  2. Turkey Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/465/tur

  3. Czechia Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.co.uk/football/team/results/_/id/450/cze

  4. Georgia Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/584/geo

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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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