The latest UEFA EURO 2024 Group E odds are on the board and ready for your wagers at the top soccer betting sites! The European Championship is inching closer, so it’s time to analyze the updated prices and the teams in this group.
Compared to some of the other groups, this one isn’t too exciting. On paper, and according to the latest odds, Belgium has a significant advantage over the competition.
Will the favorite live up to expectations and dominate Ukraine, Romania, and Slovakia? Below, check out my comprehensive analysis of all teams, the odds of qualifying and group winner, as well as my 2024 Group E predictions!
EURO 2024 Group E Betting Odds
Belgium leads a group that includes Ukraine, Romania, and Slovakia. Under perfect conditions, Ukraine might have a chance to upset Belgium.
I am not discounting Romania either, but a lot will have to go right. Slovakia, however, is up against a wall in Group E. They could have had a worse draw, but this isn’t ideal.
Group E Winner Odds
The following European Championship Group E odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| TEAM | TEAM |
|---|---|
| Belgium | -250 |
| Ukraine | +550 |
| Romania | +600 |
| Slovakia | +1000 |
Belgium (-250) is the odds-on favorite to win Group E. As a heavy favorite, the country has an implied probability of 71.4% to take the top spot in the table.
The Ukrainians bring a fairly stout team with them to EURO 2024. It’s one of the better teams they’ve had, but at +550, Ukraine has just a 15.4% implied chance to finish atop the group.
Conversely, Slovakia’s +1000 odds to win Group E suggest an implied chance of just 9.1%.
To Qualify From Group E Odds
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Belgium | -2000 |
| Ukraine | -200 |
| Romania | -165 |
| Slovakia | -110 |
It would be a massive upset if Belgium doesn’t qualify from Group E. At -2000 to progress, the favorite has an implied chance of 95.2% to advance according to the oddsmakers. That’s hardly a surprise given the favorable draw in Group E.
It’s interesting that every squad has a better than 50% chance of advancing, according to the odds. I remind you that there are two chances to qualify: Finish in the top 2 of Group E, or be one of the top four third-place teams.
Taking these odds into consideration, I don’t spot any betting value on a knockouts qualification bet. Let’s analyze the teams next, so you can understand why.
Belgium – Are The Red Devils The Team To Beat?
The online bookies suggest that Belgium has a serious edge over the competition. However, is this a true indication of how Group E will play out?
Let’s delve into Belgium’s chances and how their roster stacks up against the rest of the group.
Impact Players
Manchester City star Kevin De Bruyne will lead Belgium into the fire at EURO 2024. The 32-year-old playmaker missed a good chunk of the season, but he’s back and firing on all cylinders just before the EUROs.
De Bruyne’s talent, combined with his experience and ability to unlock even the most stubborn defenses give Belgium a huge advantage in this group. He’s been one of the best soccer players in Europe over the last five years of his career.
Simply sensational, @KevinDeBruyne! 🤯 pic.twitter.com/GTy4nuXrPa
— Manchester City (@ManCity) April 25, 2024
Having a player of his stature is exceptionally valuable in marquee international competitions. He will have this team ready to play at a high level, and in a favorable group, Belgium is in a good position.
What’s more, forward Jeremy Doku plays with De Bruyne at Manchester City. The 21-year-old and De Bruyne should instantly find chemistry in the group stage in Germany.
Recent Performances & Team Form
The Belgian team is coming off a strong performance against the favorite to win EURO 2024. Belgium drew against England in a 2-2 final on March 26.
England ruled the time of possession at 63.1% versus 36.9% and shots on target with seven shots compared to three. That said, Belgium made the most of their opportunities, which is not a coincidence.
Belgium’s Last Five Results:
- Belgium 2 – England 2 (March 24, 2024)
- Belgium 0 – Republic of Ireland 0 (March 23, 2024)
- Belgium 5 – Azerbaijan 0 (Nov. 19, 2023)
- Belgium 1 – Serbia 0 (Nov. 15, 2023)
- Belgium 1 – Sweden 1 (Oct. 16, 2023)
Belgium hasn’t lost a match since November 22 against Morocco! Notable wins include a 3-2 final versus Germany in September 2023 and a 1-0 win over Serbia in November1.
This team is solid enough to deliver a deep run in the EUROs, so I don’t expect problems in the group stage.
Ukraine – Can The Country Upset The Odds?
Three years after Ukraine went on a solid run at EURO 2020, they are back looking to do more damage. Ukraine reached the quarterfinals following a 2-1 win over Sweden in the Round of 16.
With many of their key pieces back from that roster, will Ukraine shock Belgium and steal the win in Group E?
Impact Players
Ukraine isn’t short of talent at EURO 2024. Arsenal’s Oleksandr Zinchenko is expected to be with the Ukrainian national team. The versatile player provides Ukraine with strong support at left-back or midfield.
In addition to Zinchenko, captain Andriy Yarmolenko returns to the European Championship to lead his country.
Wishing a happy birthday to Andriy Yarmolenko! 🇺🇦
An integral part in one of the biggest nights in London Stadium history ⚒️ pic.twitter.com/aOmNXu9EBz
— West Ham United (@WestHam) October 23, 2022
The former West Ham United winger will be the focal point for Ukraine’s attack. The defensive energy will likely be present for Ukraine, but they need to score goals to have a chance at getting back to the quarterfinals. Yarmolenko will be instrumental in Ukraine’s valiant attempt.
Another player that deserves a mention is Mykhailo Mudryk. The youngster has struggled to adapt to the dysfunctional Chelsea side, but he usually delivers for Ukraine.
Recent Performances & Team Form
Ukraine won both of their matches against Iceland and Bosnia in March. The second encounter was a nail-biter, as they had to depend on the Bosnians collapsing late to get the win.
Other bright spots during their international campaign include a 0-0 draw versus Italy in November 2023 and 1-1 versus England a month earlier. However, they also took a 2-1 loss to Italy and 2-0 against England last March2.
Ukraine’s Last Five Results:
- Ukraine 2 – Iceland 1 (March 26, 2024)
- Ukraine 2 – Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 (March 21, 2024)
- Ukraine 0 – Italy 0 (Nov. 20, 2023)
- Ukraine 3 – Malta 1 (Oct. 17, 2023)
- Ukraine 2 – North Macedonia 0 (Oct 14, 2023)
I have confidence in Ukraine having enough firepower to finish ahead of Romania and Slovakia. However, the Belgian squad will likely prove to be a tough assignment.
Romania – Can The Romanians Turn Back The Clock?
After failing to qualify for EURO 2020, Romania is back looking to surpass their best European Championship performance from 2000. They haven’t won a match since reaching the quarterfinals of tthat tournament.
In an acceptable group with Ukraine and Slovakia, is this the year for Romania to relive some of that magic over two decades ago?
Impact Players
Romania will lean on 22-year-old center-back Radu Dragusin to keep the Tricolorii in matches. The defender is currently with Tottenham Hotspur of the Premier League.
The defense is backed by Dragusin and 27-year-old Razvan Marin. The versatile midfielder pairs well with Dragusin and can help his country tick. Like Ukraine, Romania needs a striker to step up and score a clutch goal or two.
🎉🇷🇴 pic.twitter.com/SN8jobRgfU
— Echipa Națională (@hai_romania) March 13, 2024
Dennis Man will be asked to do a lot in Germany, but all eyes will be fixated on Liga I’s winger Florinel Coman. Romania’s odds to win Group E appear about right at +600.
Recent Performances & Team Form
Romania’s latest effort doesn’t speak to their team strengths. They were dropped in a 3-2 clash versus Colombia this past March. The defense was incredibly out of form, with their most goals conceded in two years.
In November, Romania was in their best form with a 1-0 win over Switzerland and 2-1 over Israel3. If the country can replicate the performances from these two games, there’s a chance to progress to the knockouts.
Romania’s Last Five Results:
- Colombia 3 – Romania 2 (March 26, 2024)
- Romania 1 – Northern Ireland 1 (March 22, 2024)
- Romania 1 – Switzerland 0 (Nov. 21, 2023)
- Romania 2 – Israel 1 (Nov. 18, 2023)
- Romania 4 – Andorra 0 (Oct. 15, 2023)
Romania’s loss to Colombia was their first defeat since November 2022 against Slovenia! A draw against Ukraine in the group stage is highly likely, so my suggestion, for your EUROs soccer betting strategy, is to consider the better odds on Romania to qualify. The two sides are very close in quality.
Slovakia – Are Slovakia’s Long EUROs 2024 Odds Justified?
Should Slovakia be part of your EURO 2024 predictions in Germany? At -110, the bookies give Slovakia a 52.4% chance of reaching the knockouts.
Finishing atop the table and winning Group E will be tough. Ousting Romania and Ukraine for third will be close, as they could all play conservatively with their strong defenses.
Impact Players
Slovakia will not have Marek Hamsik after the star retired in 2022. That’s a considerable blow to a player who meant so much to Slovakian soccer, but he left behind some solid young talent.
Nevertheless, Slovakia qualified for the EUROs after ending the Irish’s dreams. They depend heavily on PSG’s Milan Skriniar. The former Inter Milan defender affords Slovakia one of the most talented players in Group E.
🚨🚨| NEW: Milan Skriniar could be 𝐒𝐎𝐋𝐃 this summer. Internally, PSG is not satisfied with him and is reportedly looking for a new central defender.
[@lequipe] pic.twitter.com/ucdMqvVUG8
— CentreGoals. (@centregoals) April 20, 2024
Stanislav Lobotka and David Hancko make this a formidable unit that should put them in contention with Ukraine and Romania. Again, however, where is the scoring coming from to push them past Belgium?
This team lacks quality in midfield and attack, at least compared to the other teams in this group.
Recent Performances & Team Form
Slovakia has had some quality wins recently. Similar form could put them slightly ahead of Ukraine and Romania in the group-stage competition.
The main concern when they faced a team close to Belgium’s quality was that they folded two defeats against Portugal. They also didn’t look their best versus Austria in a 2-0 loss in March4.
Getting past the likes of Bosnia, Luxembourg, and Iceland is one thing. However, they seem a step behind top-tier opposition.
Slovakia’s Last Five Results:
- Slovakia 1 – Norway 1 (March 26, 2024)
- Australia 2 – Slovakia 0 (March 23, 2024)
- Slovakia 2 – Bosnia and Herzegovina (Nov. 19, 2023)
- Slovakia 4 – Iceland 2 (Nov. 16, 2023)
- Slovakia 1 – Luxembourg (Oct. 16, 2023)
Still, Ukraine and Romania may not have the offensive firepower to penetrate Slovakia’s defense consistently, so those three likely engage in interesting battles.
EURO Group E Predictions and Best Bets
With an offense and complete package that stands above the rest, Belgium is the class of Group E. The Belgians received an incredibly fortunate draw for EURO 2024.
Ukraine, Romania, and Slovakia are all a tier below Belgium. Italy and Croatia would love for nothing else but to trade out of the “Group of Death” for Group E. The same applies to teams stuck behind France in tricky Group D.
Following Belgium, I do not have Ukraine and Romania that far apart. Slovakia is a slight step behind. They are too inconsistent to trust fully, but the Slovakians are within reach of qualifying.
Belgium can employ a conservative approach and likely come out on top and win Group E. Even if the favorite makes a mistake, the other three teams are too close to each other for anyone to capitalize.
That gives me enough confidence to back Belgium to win at -250.
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Sources:
Belgium Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/459/bel”
Ukraine Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/457/ukr”
Romania Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/473/rom”
Slovakia Results | ESPN.com. Retrieved From “https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/results/_/id/468/svk”
