Bellator 289 Odds and Top Fights to Bet On

Bellator MMA December 9th

Bellator 289 odds from Bovada cover the Bellator World Grand Prix bantamweight semifinals, the women’s flyweight title bout, and the interim bout for Bellator Bantamweight Championship all in one card. This stacked card features several shoe-in picks for parlay and some competitive fights with value bet props on any of the top MMA betting sites.

Bellator 289 Predictions and Top Betting Picks

We’re breaking down our picks by parlay, value bet, and underdog Bellator 289 predictions.

Bellator 289 Parlay Picks

This fight has a series of close bouts, but the money line picks for Patrick Downey at -1800 and Dalton Rosta at -1000 are easy bets to make. Couple them with Teofimo Lopez and other major favorites over the weekend for a solid return.

Bellator 289 Value Bets

The Crutchmer money line at -280 and the Kai Kamaka money line at -310 are both quality bets with a moderate payout. Keep your bets light and spread them out over multiple bouts to get the most out of these value bets.

Bellator 289 Underdog Picks

Liz Carmouche should upset Velasquez yet agoing at +145, continuing her winning streak to 5. We also like Lencioni, who’s at +245 currently but expected to move closer to fight time. He’s evolved his grappling in a way that Law may struggle to deal with. Now onto the breakdowns for each fight, followed by some betting advice on Bovada’s 3-15 betting markets per bout.

Danny Sabatello +110 vs Raufeon Stots-154

Both fighters have seen only one loss, and the odds are narrow with Stots a minor favorive. Stots has won five more fights than Danny, but we’re looking at their recent performances.
Favorite Raufeon Stots has two finishes in his last seven fights, both in the third round, and Sabatello has seen five decisions straight.

Top Bets for Sabatello vs Stots

There are plenty of enticing bets on the finish, but none of them reflect the style of Stots and Sabatello, who are set to match in a technical exchange of MMA at its finest. Our Bellator 289 main event prediction is the prop “Will the fight go the distance, Yes” at -230.

Juliana Velasquez -176 vs Liz Carmouche +145

Liz is on a four fight winning streak since being cut from the UFC, finishing three of her four Bellator opponents. She just defeated Velasquez in April and this is her immediate rematch. Juliana is now 12-1, and while the bout was competitive, it was a fourth round finish from Carmouche. It’s tough to look at anything but their last performance when considering who’s taking the title.

Top bets for Velasquez vs Carmouche

Carmouche by TKO is an enticing prop at +650. People feel like it was just a fluke that Liz finished Velasquez, but at 36 it’s possible that Velasquez’s chin is fading. Outside of Carmouche, Macfarlane and Na Liang are the only women with more than nine wins on Velasquez record. This is only her fourth major test in the ring. For that, we’re taking the Carmouche money line at +145, predicting a replay of their April contest.

Magomed Magomedov -130 vs Patchy Mix +105

The Bantamweight Grand Prix Semifinals is arguably the closests matchup of the bracket. Mix and Magomedov both saw one of their only losses inside the last five fights. Mix’s record is a who’s who of bantamweight, and he’s submitted four of his six Bellator opponents. Magomedov is a similar fighter, focusing on grappling finishes with his most recent loss as a decision against Stots.

Top Bet for Magomedov vs Mix

Anyone can get submitted. That said, these two seem to have similar levels of grappling. There is part of me that wants to bet the Mix by submission prop bet at +285, but I would keep it light if I did. A better bet is the Over 4.5 Rounds at -145. If the finish comes, it will come late and you should be willing to lose out on the -132 decision prop payout for that last two and a half minutes of fight time.

Anthony Adams +550 vs Dalton Rosta -1000

At 7-0, ‘Hercules’ Rosta has finished four fighters since hsi perfect 7-0 amateur run, finishing all amateurs by TKO. Anthony Adams is a great fighter out of Elevation, but at 34 he’s fading. He’s since his first two losses since 2018, and this year marks his tenth year as a pro MMA fighter.

Top Bet for Adams vs Rosta

Rosta is one of our parlay picks, offering a minor boost to your ticket at -1000. Aside from his money line, his knockout prop is +120. No, Adams has never been finished. He also hasn’t faced this kind of power, with none of his opponent’s to date having a similar TKO history. Fans of Elevation fight team should consider the No Decision prop bets at -109.

Denise Kielholtz -164 vs Ilara Joanne +131

Kielholtz was always #3 until Carmouche entered Bellator. Her back to back losses have her as a favorite, and the Bellator 289 odds only have three betting markets for this fight. Joanne is a submission fighter at her core, but she’s seen recent losses where she was out grappled- including her loss to Kana Watanabe in 2019.

Top Bets for Kielholtz vs Joanne

Kielhotlz’s submission defense isn’t up to par, and Joanne’s chin doesn’t make the cut. This competitive bout shouldn’t go the distance, and Bellator 289 odds agree. Bet the ‘Will the fight go the distance, no’ prop at -130. You should wait until just before fight time to see if the lines move to underdog status.

Jaleel Willis +212 vs Kyle Crutchmer -280

Crutchmer is 9-1 overall and 5-1 for Bellator. His recent wins include the undefeated Levan Chokhell and 10-2 Oliver Enkamp. Willis rose to power quickly, facing Homasi and Berkhamov, losing to both via submission.

Top Bets for Willis vs Crutchmer

A submission specialist early in his career, this could be a great fight for Crutchmer to bring out his submission prowess. The no decision prop bet odds on this fight are +150, but given his recent showings and three straight decisions, we’re going with the Crutchmer money line, currently down at -250.

Cody Law -275 vs Cris Lencioni +200

Law is coming off his first pro loss, after winning six straight with five finishes. Lencioni is a serious grappling competitor, who’s now 2-1 for MMA for the year. Both men are finishers, but both have seen recent decision losses.

Top Bets for Law vs Lencioni

This fight is closer than the oddsmakers have it. Lencioni has had an inconsistent career, but his grappling is every bit as dangerous as Law’s. We see some utility in betting the under, but considering Lencioni’s frequency of competition, we’re making a slight bet on the underdog at +225. He has a 50/50 chance of winning, and his payout is too good to pass.

Kristina Katsikis +205 vs Randi Field -275

This bout is canceled, but still up on some betting websites. Be sure not to bet, or you’ll have your money returned to your account a few days later.

Kai Kamaka -310 vs Kevin Boehm +225

Both fighters are 9-5 and both have recent losses to opponent’s with more than ten wins. Kamaka is a heavy favorite given his time in the UFC, but he wasn’t a world beater, going 1-2-1 for the promotion and now 1-1 for Bellator. Boehm has lost the majority of steps up in competition he’s faced, with Aj Bryant (11-6) being the best fighter he’s beaten.

Top Bets for Kamak a vs Boehm

A review of the fight tape shows Boehm lacks a flexibility of gameplan. Where Kamaka is happy to sit back and pick his shots, avoiding danger and willing to win the decision, Boehm is reckless and it’s cost him multiple times against lesser fighters. Bet the Kai money line for a 1:3 return on your cash.

Mark Lemminger -135 vs Michael Lombardo +105

This 170 pound bout features Lemminger as a favorite in spite of his 1-4 record over the last five. A win over Demarques Jackson has kept him in the top ten, but Lemminger was smashed by Enkamp and Gracie, and finished in three of his recent losses. Lombardo lost a hard fought decision to Crutchmer, but hasn’t faced the same level of competition as Lemminger.

Top Bets for Lemminger vs Lombardo

This was supposed to be a comeback fight for Lemminger, but Lombardo is training full time at American Top Team and has never been finished. He’s developing quickly as a competitor and his underdog money line is too good to pass up. The Bellator 289 odds for a finish are at +100, and with Lombardo’s frequent decisions against top competitors, we’ll stick with the money line.

Christian Echols +825 vs Patrick Downey -1800

World class wrestler Pat Downey faces his second opponent in MMA after a thirty second arm triangle debut. Echols is a BJJ specialist who lost both his first fights via finish. Does Echols stand a chance? Possible, but Downey’s submission work will have evolved dramatically at Sanford MMA, where he’s been training full time for over a year.

Top Bets for Echols vs Downey

The Downey money line is one of our parlay picks for this card and shouldn’t be overlooked. The ‘Fight goes the distance, no’ prop bet at -950 pays double that money line, and Echols has never seen a decision as a pro. It’s kill or be killed in this one, so don’t be afraid to bet either the money line or finishing prop!

Cass Bell +420 vs Jared Scoggins -650

The opening fight features Cass Bell who somehow ended up fighting Stots and Lugo back to back in 2020 and 2021. Scoggins is one of the hardest strikers in the bantamweight world, but was knocked out in his debut for Bellator. I don’t know how Bell has managed to fight three of the toughest bantamweights in the world (outside of the UFC) back to back.

Top Bets for Bell vs Scoggins

Bell has only been knocked out once, and it was back in 2014. Scoggins can finish him, but the -650 odds are a bit much for us, especially for a fighter coming off a knockout loss. For that, we’re looking at the ‘Fight goes to decision, no’ prop bet at +110 and considering it a value bet worth placing a light wager on, not the best bet of the Bellator 289 odds, but worth a $10 wager.

Bellator 289 Odds at Online Gambling Sites

That covers all eleven bouts at Bellator 289, but if the odds aren’t where you want them to be, check your top betting sites for your region below. These sites are safe and legal for use with Bellator 289, and the more sportsbooks you play at, the more bonuses you accrue. If you’re looking at the parlay picks, be sure to find the site with the best money line when you’re betting, as odds will move and change with current bets.

Jacob Clark profile picture
Jacob Clark

Role: Sports/Casino Writer

Content covered on TSG: Blog and News

Jacob Clark had a 15-year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, one of TikTok’s most important BJJ influencers, Jacob is bringing his fight sports and betting knowledge to you here at The Sports Geek. When not writing insightful fight sports content, Jacob can be found teaching jiu-jitsu seminars all over Indiana and surrounding states.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *