Bellator 291 Odds, Picks and Best Fights to Bet On

Bellator MMA Sat Feb 25

On Saturday, February 25, Bellator will be live from the 3Arena in Dublin, Ireland, for Bellator 291 also known as Bellator Dublin.

This event features 18 fights including a welterweight title bout for the main event as champion Yaroslav Amosov seeks to beat interim-champ Logan Storley for the second time.

The best MMA betting sites have odds available for the entire lineup. Let’s take a look at this huge card and breakdown which Bellator 291 bets you should make this weekend. 

Bellator 291 Predictions

The following Bellator 291 odds are courtesy of Bovada.

Pick and OddsPayout per $100 WagerConfidence Rating, How to Play 
Amosov vs Storley: Over 2.5 Rounds -330$130High, Parlay Pick
Jeremy Kennedy -240$141High, Value Bet
Bryce Logan +120$220High, Upset Pick
Harding vs Kavanagh: Under 2.5 Rounds +170$270High, Value Bet
Ciaran Clarke -435$122High, Top Parlay Pick
Maciej Rozanski +110$210Moderate, Value Bet
Mike Shipman -225$144High, Value Bet
Oleg Popov -205$148High, Value Bet
Novenyi vs Manzolo: Under 1.5 Rounds -185$154Low 
Brian Moore -435$122Moderate
Piotr Niedzielski -300$133High, Value Bet
Darragh Kelly -1100$109High, Parlay Pick
Asael Adjoudj -145$168Moderate, Value Bet
Jena Bishop -150$166Moderate, Value Bet
Kenny Mokhonoana -1100$109High, Parlay Pick
Khasan Magomedsharipov -1200$108High, Parlay Pick
Dmytrii Hrytsenko +172$272Moderate, Upset Pick
Steven Hill -435$122Moderate, Value Bet
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We see a surprising number of fights above -400 and a few moderate confidence upset picks. The Bellator 291 odds for Over/Unders are released on most fights, with the main card showing the highest variety of betting markets.

Bellator 291 Odds for February 25th, 2023

Watch this massive card starting at 11:30 AM ET on YouTube. The main card features five fights airing only on Showtime. Place your bets before the card starts and don’t be afraid to build an easy four fight parlay ticket out of the Bellator 291 favorites.

Logan Storley +133 vs Yaroslav Amosov -170

The Amosov split decision win over Storley came as no surprise. Neither fighter is easily defeated, but Amosov has nearly double the experience. The Over 2.5 at -330 matches nearly all of their outcomes against contenders.

This fight was neck and neck, with no potential fight ending shots landed in the first title shot. It could go to either man, but it will likely go the distance.

The Bet
Over 2.5

Jeremy Kennedy -240 vs Pedro Carvalho +190

We had Mads Burnell in Carvalho’s last win, where he proved more of a problem striking than anticipated. Kennedy has only lost to Borics, Laurentino and Volkanovski. His career has been consistent, and he appears to be peaking in terms of technique and talent. We think Kennedy finds the knockout, giving us a comfortable value bet win.

The Bet
Jeremy Kennedy

Bryce Logan +120 vs Peter Queally -155

Another SBG fighter, Queally is now 38 and has lost his last two, winning only one fight since 2019. That’s a long time at his age, and we feel his performances are bound to change. Logan has lost three fights in a row, and had no business being in there with Mandel Nallo. He’s taken time off and he believes this is going to be a career changing moment for him. We agree.

The Bet
Bryce Logan

Janay Harding +195 vs Sinead Kavanagh -260

Harding beat Kavanagh back in 2018, so it’s difficult to understand the massive favorite position of Sinead. We like the Under, because Harding has been knocked out, but Kavanagh has multiple finish losses including one to Harding.

Sinead will feel crowd pressure to put on a show in Dublin, so a slow fight isn’t in the cards. Bet the Under for +170, a nearly superior payout to a Harding win.

The Bet
Under 2.5 Rounds

Ciaran Clarke -435 vs Leonardos Sinis +315

The next great SBG hope, Clarke is a submission fighter taking on his first submission focused veteran. Sinis is fading, with recent losses to Vladimir Trusov (1-1) among other unknowns, and his last three wins were against cans. Clarke is the parlay pick of the night and the best bet of the Bellator 291 odds.

The Bet
Ciaran Clarke

Karl Moore -145 vs Maciej Rozanski +110

The night is stacked in favor of the Irish fighters. Moore faces a grappler on a four-fight winning streak in Rozanski. Rozanski has real power and Moore has been knocked out multiple times.

We feel this was an accidental mismatch. Rozanski has early wins over UFC fighter Makhmud Muradov and an ever-increasing set of ground skills. Don’t blink, and bet the under if you’re an Irishman.

The Bet
Maciej Rozanski

Charlie Ward +170 vs Mike Shipman -225

Ward is now 42 years old, but is 1-1 in the last year. 32-year-old Shipman is on a 1-3 rough patch, but has shown repeated finishing power all throughout his career. At some point the durability of Ward has to fade, and we think Shipman has the kind of power and understanding of submission work to put the aging warrior away.

The Bet
Mike Shipman

Gokhan Saricam +155 vs Oleg Popov -205

Saricam has handled everyone but Mowry, and now gets the joy of being the Bellator debut of Oleg Popov. People have been talking about this man for years and his 15-1 record spans an eight year career.

Aside from his most recent few bouts, he’s been unable to match up against any major fighters. Saricam’s win over Said Sowma may be the most impressive between them. Popov is still an easy value bet, but consider the Under 2.5 rounds if you don’t trust his record.

The Bet
Oleg Popov

Andy Manzolo +300 vs Norbert Novenyi -450

Undefeated Novenyi is 5-0 with four submission wins. The 26-9 Manzolo is 38 years old on a four-fight winning streak. We’re concerned with Manzolo’s knockout power, it’s definitely something Novenyi is yet to encounter.

For that, we’re looking at the Under 1.5 rounds at -185. Novenyi will find an early sub or get knocked out in the process.

The Bet
Under 1.5 Rounds

Brian Moore -435 vs Luca Lovine +305

1-2 in his last three, Moore has been struggling in a way that makes us question his -435 status. Lovine is in the same bout, going 3-7 in recent fights, but still getting three finishes.

The Moore money line is still worth a small risk, but remove this win from any parlay picks until Brian finds his momentum again. We don’t feel the Bellator 291 odds accurately reflect Moore’s value.

The Bet
Brian Moore

Piotr Niedzielski -300 vs Richie Smullen +220

His ten-fight winning streak looks like it’s going to continue. Piotr is facing TUF contestant Richie Smullen, who’s doing well against fighters with less than five fights, but not so much against veterans like Niedzielski. Smullen can grapple, but has fundamental weaknesses in the scramble that have cost him twice in his career.

The Bet
Piotr Niedzielski

Darragh Kelly -1100 vs Dorval Jordan +600

Kelly is undefeated with a pro-am 11 straight wins. Jordan is 2-2 and has struggled with grappling in both losses, with no victories over winning fighters even as an amateur. This is as one sided as the commission should ever allow.

The Bet
Darragh Kelly

Asael Adjoudj -145 vs Liam McCracken +110

Liam has the longer career, more pro finishes and a title in a small English amateur organization. Adjoudj has that x-factor. Fight tape shows Adjoudj to be a faster, harder hitting striker, while McCracken is just a hair too small for featherweight.

The Bet
Asael Adjoudj

Elina Kailionidou +115 vs Jena Bishop -150

Submission machine Jena Bishop is making an ever-improving MMA run. This is her fifth fight in two years, and she’s finished two opponents in the first round. Our Bellator 291 prediction is that Elina finds herself submitted early by another level of grappler in Bishop.

This is Bishop’s biggest test to date, and some more conservative bettors may look to the Over 1.5, thinking Kailionidou can stifle the submission work of Bishop.

The Bet
Jena Bishop

Craig McIntosh +600 vs Kenny Mokhonoana -1100

Kenny does have amateur losses, but his four-fight pro submission streak has been flawless. McIntosh is a grappler in his own right, but has fumbled, getting submitted by far lower quality fighters as a pro, and is coming off a knockout loss two years ago.

The Bet
Kenny Mokhonoana

Khasan Magomedsharipov -1200 vs Rafael Hudson +675

This is another deeply one-sided match. Khasan Magomedsharipov is the latest of the undefeated, destined for glory, Dagestani fighters to hit Bellator. He struggles to get fights more than he struggles in the cage.

The Bet
Khasan Magomedsharipov
-1200

Daniele Scatizzi -218 vs Dmytrii Hrytsenko +172

Undefeated Ukrainian Hrytsenko, is a knockout machine that hasn’t really had the opportunity to face any real fighters. Scatizzi is an SBG fighter with 6 losses and a chin that’s taken some serious damage despite a short career. We see an upset, with the experience of Dmytrii being discounted, and the ability of Scatizzi inflated for an Irish crowd.

The Bet
Dmytrii Hrytsenko

Joel Kouadja +305 vs Steven Hill -435

Kouadja is 7-9, but showing a six-fight winning streak over low quality fighters. His most recent loss was a single arm RNC. Hill has some submission skill, but we’re not betting the house on him. He’s only fought two opponents with any fights at all despite being 6-0. This is a good test for him, and a moderate value bet for us.

The Bet
Steven Hill

Bellator 291 Delivers a Show in Dublin

These fights appear one sided and leave room for big upsets, but we’re betting that the event goes according to plan. Many of these fighters are leagues above their competition, and Irishmen love to put on a show for the home crowd.

Expect above average aggression and fear betting the Over props when these fighters are trying to perform for their home crowds.

Sources:

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/93271-bellator-dublin

https://www.bovada.lv/sports/ufc-mma/bellator/bellator-291

https://www.bestfightodds.com/

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Jacob Clark

Role: Sports/Casino Writer

Content covered on TSG: Blog and News

Jacob Clark had a 15-year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, one of TikTok’s most important BJJ influencers, Jacob is bringing his fight sports and betting knowledge to you here at The Sports Geek. When not writing insightful fight sports content, Jacob can be found teaching jiu-jitsu seminars all over Indiana and surrounding states.

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