The Utah Utes and Oregon Ducks meet with the stakes high at Autzen Stadium. With both teams at 6-1 in the Pac-12, there is a potential trip to the Pac-12 Championship in play. We have our latest Utah vs. Oregon predictions and best bets for Saturday in Eugene.
Utah and Oregon were in the Pac-12 Championship and the result was the same for a regular season matchup. The Utes punished the Ducks at home in Salt Lake City, and then did the same in the Pac-12 Championship in Las Vegas.
The Utes earned a trip to the Rose Bowl against the Ohio State Buckeyes. They came up short, but it was a valiant attempt. Expectations were high for Utah this season, as well.
Utah disappointed in their season debut and have kind of been forgotten about since then. They were 2.5-point favorites at The Swamp in Florida. Florida pulled off the small upset with a 29-26 win to hold off the Utes.
Since the loss, Utah has eight wins and just one loss against UCLA at the Rose Bowl. Utah looks to make it five straight wins following a 42-7 win over Stanford. The Ducks are looking for a better performance after a 37-34 loss to Washington at home.
Bo Nix was helped to the sideline after this tackle. pic.twitter.com/GxYVQL4IBb
— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) November 13, 2022
via@ESPNCFB
Will Oregon have back-to-back losses at Autzen? It seems unthinkable, but losing a starting quarterback is not going to help. Bo Nix’s status does not look good for the Ducks in Week 12.
Nix had an injury last week against the Huskies. He could miss this game and the rest of the season. The Oregon coaching staff is being quiet, but word is that Nix is not expected to play.
Head below for our Utah vs. Oregon best bets and betting pick for November 19, 2022.
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Utah Utes vs. Oregon Ducks Live Betting Odds:
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Utes | +3 (-115) | +115 | Over 63 (-105) |
| Oregon Ducks | -3 (-105) | -135 | Under 63 (-115) |
| Team Data | Utah Utes | Oregon Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Record | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| ATS Record | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Away/Home Record | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| ATS Away/Home | 1-3-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Yards Per Game | 462.8 | 527.7 |
| Yards Against Per Game | 328.0 | 397.7 |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 252.3 | 288.4 |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 210.5 | 239.3 |
Utah vs. Oregon Predictions
If Bo Nix can’t start, and it’s looking improbable, Oregon will turn turn to redshirt freshman Ty Thompson. This is a big spot for the young quarterback that has only had 36 pass attempts in two years.
Bo Nix this season:
FBS QB Rank
total TD 36 1st
rush TD 13 1st
comp pct 73.3% 2nd pic.twitter.com/tVDS5tpAXM— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) November 10, 2022
via@CBSSports
There is a good reason why Nix chose Oregon. He saw an opening at quarterback on a team that has little competition for the starting job. Thompson was not going to threaten Nix for the keys to the offense.
With Nix at the controls, Oregon has been pretty reliable offensively. However, do not expect the same from Thompson. Unfortunately he is not going to get a warm up game, either.
Utah Defense Will Not Give Many Easy Looks
The Utes have not garnered much attention in the national spotlight. They all gave up on Utah after the loss to Florida. This, however, does not mean that the Utes are not a stiff challenge on defense.
The Utes are 22nd in the FBS defensively. They have allowed an average of 328 yards per game. This includes 20 points against per game.
Thompson is up against the 39th-best secondary in college football. Look for Oregon to rely heavily on their running backs. Utah is good against the run as well, though.
Going into Autzen Stadium, Utah has allowed 121.5 rushing yards per game for 26th in the nation. In other words, it is not like the Ducks can just hammer the ball for 4 quarters. Thompson needs to make a play.
Cameron Rising Holds Considerable Advantage
The quarterback battle is squarely in favor of Utah going into Saturday night. Rising is a veteran that was here for both wins over Oregon last year. He enters Eugene with 19 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 66.3% completions.
Cameron Rising has been named one of 21 semifinalists for the @daveyobrien award ‼️ @crising7https://t.co/eA5tLxqV0i pic.twitter.com/C3Rt1bNBRo
— Utah Football (@Utah_Football) November 15, 2022
via@Utah_Football
Rising has also shown some juice on his legs. He has rushed for 335 yards and 6 touchdowns on 6.4 yards per attempt. Oregon knows, as Rising gained 61 rushing yards in the 2021 Pac-12 Championship.
What do we expect from Thompson in this one? He is not completely new to the Oregon offense. Thompson threw for 2 touchdowns and 1 interception on 46.7% completions in his first season.
He’s had limited opportunities this season. Thompson has been unable to make the most out of his opportunities. With 2 interceptions and no interceptions on 52.4% completions, there is a reason why Nix is the clear QB1 at Oregon.
Utah vs. Oregon Betting Pick:
This looks like a tall order for Thompson. He is very fortunate to get Utah at home, but it is still going to be tough. The Utes are peaking at the right time and should be unfazed by the rookie.
In their last four outings, USC is the only team to score more than 20 points on Utah. They’ve allowed an average of 14.6 points per game. Expect a fundamentally sound performance for the Utes on the road in Eugene.
The fact that we are getting 3 points on Utah looks like sharp value. With a healthy Nix, this would be a different story. However, Thompson vs the Utah defense and Rising appears like a mismatch.
Our Utah vs. Oregon prediction is a 31-28 final in what could be an upset at Autzen Stadium.
