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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

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See the best bets that The Geek is favoring for today’s matchup.

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For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how “confident” we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners.

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The Dallas Mavericks will beat the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

In this matchup, the Mavericks’ scoring averages slightly trail that of the Warriors, with the Mavericks at approximately 114.2 points per game compared to the Warriors’ impressive 116.9. However, what the Mavericks excel at is efficiency. Their field goal percentage sits at about 47.4%, which rivals the Warriors’ 46.4%. Defensively, the Mavericks have been effective in limiting opponents’ scoring, as evidenced by their ability to maximize possessions and secure rebounds, averaging around 44.7 per game. This rebounding prowess may neutralize the Warriors’ offensive flow and create additional opportunities for the Mavericks.

While the Warriors maintain a slight edge in assists, their reliance on deep shooting (with a 3-point percentage of 36.5%) could be curtailed against a Mavericks team that has shown defensive resolve. Considering the Mavericks’ propensity to control pace and reduce transition opportunities, I anticipate a low-scoring affair. A combined scoring effort may well land beneath the typical threshold, resulting in a total that falls short of the expected mark. The Warriors may cover, but ultimately I expect the Mavericks to secure the win on their home turf.

User Consensus Picks

For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners.

Here is the betting public’s consensus picks for the spread, moneyline, and total for today’s game. Log in with a free account and add your picks to the tally.

Spread Jan 22, 2026
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Moneyline Jan 22, 2026
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Total Jan 22, 2026

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