New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Milwaukee Bucks will beat the New Orleans Pelicans. The Milwaukee Bucks will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

While the Pelicans hold a slight edge in points per game, averaging 114.4 compared to the Bucks’ 111.1, it’s crucial to look deeper. The Bucks boast a superior field goal percentage at 47.9%, suggesting they convert their scoring opportunities more effectively, while the Pelicans sit at 46.0%. This discrepancy is significant in a close matchup. Additionally, Milwaukee’s three-point shooting stands out at 39.0%, which is considerably higher than New Orleans’ 33.8%. This efficiency from beyond the arc could play a pivotal role tonight, especially in late-game situations, where spacing becomes critical.

Furthermore, the Bucks excel in rebounding, averaging 40.6 rebounds per game against the Pelicans’ 44.0. However, with the ability to secure defensive boards, Milwaukee can limit second-chance points for New Orleans while capitalizing on their own offensive opportunities. It’s also noteworthy that while both teams are capable of scoring, the Bucks’ defense is tougher when it matters most, often forcing opponents into lower shooting percentages. As a result, I expect the total score to land below expectations. The combination of the Bucks’ shooting efficiency and defensive prowess will help them achieve victory while keeping the action under the projected total.