Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction

The Troy Trojans will beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves. The Troy Trojans will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

Analyzing the statistical overview, Troy’s offensive output stands at approximately 27 points per game, significantly higher than Arkansas State’s average of about 19 points per game. This disparity reflects a crucial factor; Troy has demonstrated more consistent scoring ability. When we look at the passing game, Troy averages around 223 yards per game, with a respectable completion percentage of 58.1%, while Arkansas State, although slightly better in passing yards at 220, shows a higher completion percentage (64.2%). This could imply a tendency for Troy to maintain depth in their offense, allowing for versatility.

On the defensive side, we must consider the efficiency of each team. Arkansas State’s defense has struggled against higher-scoring teams, and Troy’s ability to establish a run game with around 105 rushing yards per game could further exploit this. Also, when it comes to scoring defense, the discrepancy becomes even clearer. Troy’s overall performance indicates they are adept at stalling opponents’ scoring chances, which suggests a lower total scoring game. With both teams showing signs of stalling offensively in recent outings, I anticipate the total will fall under the expected mark, reinforcing the prediction that Troy will triumph and cover the spread comfortably.