2025-26 EPL Title Odds: Are Liverpool Unstoppable?

Liverpool dominated the English Premier League last season, winning the title with plenty of games to spare. It was one of the least competitive seasons in a while because the Reds were so much better than anyone else.

You wouldn’t expect many changes when that happens, but Liverpool went berserk in the transfer window. They lost some players like Trent to Real Madrid, Luis Diaz to Bayern, and Jarell Quansah to Bayer Leverkusen. Unfortunately, Diogo Jota also died in a tragic car accident, so the squad will miss a few big names.

However, the Reds also invested heavily. A quick look at Liverpool’s transfer activity shows that the team spent a fortune bringing the likes of Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike, Milos Kerkez, and Jeremie Frimpong.

They also got Giorgi Mamardashvili back to replace Caoimhín Kelleher as the back-up goalkeeper. It looks like the Georgian goalie is ready to learn from Alisson but also challenge him for the starting spot, so I’m not worried about that position.

I do have some doubts about the balance in other places. For a start, the defense was questionable at times last year and should stay the same. Frimpong is a good Trent replacement and should contribute offensively, but he’s used to a different system and might struggle at the back.

Liverpool have way too many good players up front, so they should score loads of goals even if the new signings need some time to gel. Let’s not forget they might bring Isak as well. The most potent attack from last year is bound to stay prolific.

Still, Mo Salah had his best season last year with 47 goal contributions in the EPL, which is very unlikely to happen again. There’s an African Nations Cup scheduled for the winter, right in the middle of the Premier League season, so that will hurt Liverpool.

Overall, I expect a similar team to last year, maybe slightly better once the new signings blend in. The question is whether this would be enough for the title. I expect a significantly more competitive campaign that should require 90+ points for a title.

Liverpool can do that, but the odds are fairly short and at least another team is in an excellent position to grab a ton of points.

Arsenal had a very weird Premier League campaign in 2024-25. They finished second by a wide margin on both ends. No one truly challenged them from behind, but they also failed to put Liverpool under real pressure at the end of the season.

Overall, it was a mixed year that showed a lot of potential. The squad looked drained after challenging Man City for the title two seasons in a row and playing in the EUROs in the summer. As a result, Arsenal led the EPL 2024-25 injury table convincingly.

The team had 27 total injuries, at least five more than any other side. Mikel Arteta had to cope with long-term injuries of players like Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Magalhães, Gabriel Jesus, and Martin Odegaard. It was just too much to handle, especially for a team that lacked firepower upfront.

The defense was the best in the league, though, allowing Arsenal to compete for a good chunk of the season. The problem was on the other end, with the Gunner scoring only 69 goals and drawing 14 games. Many of these ties came against teams from the bottom of the table.

The team addressed the issues by going out in the transfer window to buy Viktor Gyokeres and Noni Madueke to bolster the attack. On top of that, they added Martin Zubimendi in the middle of the park, as well as players like Kepa, Norgaard, and Mosquera for more depth.

This is the strongest Arsenal squad Mikel Arteta’s had, so there are no excuses this season. The Gunners need to win big and they look ready for it, especially with a goal machine like Gyokeres up front.

Similarly to Liverpool, some of the new players might need time, but the overall changes in Arsenal should be less significant. If Gyokeres delivers and the team doesn’t suffer the same injury crisis as last year, I expect Arsenal to hit the 90-point mark this year.

Manchester City dominated the Premier League for years, before stumbling last year. Two tough seasons on all fronts and the EURO’s led to fatigue and injuries. It wasn’t quite as bad as Arsenal, but Guardiola had to cope without Rodri for almost the entire season and other key players for shorter periods.

This resulted in a free-fall for months around the middle of the season, when Man City lost any chance to fight for the EPL title or the Champions League. In fact, the team even lost the FA Cup final to Crystal Palace to add more misery.

Even splashing the cash in the January transfer window didn’t help, so Pep Guardiola is in a tough spot coming into the 2025-26 season. The squad will be refreshed, but I don’t think City are on the same level as Liverpool and Arsenal.

Their defense was leaky last season, the press wasn’t working, and many attacking players looked depleted. Rodri is back, but he’s in the middle of a Real Madrid saga, even if Man City are looking to offer him a huge new deal to keep him.

In short, Man City suffered by the same issue Arsenal faced, but with a significantly older squad that was only going to get worse anyway. And while the Gunners had time to recharge in the summer, Guardiola and his team were involved in the Club World Cup.

The extra few weeks will hurt the team, especially at the start of the season, so I don’t see Man City as a title favorite. You never know with a squad of such quality and a manager like Pep, but the gap to Liverpool and Arsenal is bigger than the EPL title odds suggest.