Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - April 12, 2025

As I sit down to analyze the upcoming matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Arizona Diamondbacks, my mind goes back to the various ups and downs I’ve witnessed on the diamond over my coaching career. There’s something special about seeing two teams clash with so much at stake, especially after their last meeting ended in a lopsided victory for Milwaukee.

The Brewers are riding high after a commanding 7-0 win against Arizona, which should instill a sense of confidence in them as they head into Chase Field. Chad Patrick will take the mound for Milwaukee with an impressive record of 1-0 and an ERA sitting at 2.45. His performance thus far has shown he can handle pressure situations effectively; this young right-hander understands how to mix his pitches well and has been striking out batters consistently—averaging around 8.9 strikeouts per game.

On the other side of the hill, we have Corbin Burnes for Arizona who is struggling with an ERA of 5.79 and finds himself looking for answers early in this season with a win-loss record that isn’t quite where he wants it to be yet—at 0-1. Burnes has undoubtedly had flashes of brilliance, but consistency remains key at this level, and opposing lineups are starting to pick up on his tendencies.

Let’s dive into how these stats translate onto the field on Saturday night: The Brewers bring an offense that averages about 5.5 runs per game along with just over eight hits, while posting a respectable .241 batting average and showing decent power potential (70% on-base slugging percentage). Though their RBIs are slightly lower at approximately 4.9 per game, one must remember that scoring opportunities can always arise when you maintain solid base running and put pressure on pitchers.

Conversely, we find that Arizona’s batting stats reflect a team capable of putting runs across as well—with an average of roughly 5.5 runs scored per game too! Their .253 batting average shows they’re adept at making contact; however, there’s room for improvement regarding converting those hits into runs driven home (with their average RBIs falling around 5). Their ability to get on base is evident by their impressive slugging percentage hovering near 79%.

Now considering all factors—the recent performance history between these teams suggests that Milwaukee’s recent success may carry forward into this match-up against Burnes’ current struggles on the mound.

My prediction? I’m leaning towards another Brewers victory tonight—taking advantage of what seems like fragile pitching from Arizona while pushing through some quality hitting against Burnes could likely spell disaster for them again if they don’t execute efficiently from first pitch onward.

In terms of total score expectations: given both lineups’ abilities to generate runs combined with either starter’s ability to keep them off base fluctuating wildly recently—I’d say expect more fireworks than expected here as I lean towards betting OVER on that total set at eight-and-a-half.

Overall, baseball is such a beautiful game due to its unpredictability—it never ceases to amaze me how quickly momentum can shift—but today? Today feels like another opportunity for Milwaukee as they look toward solidifying their presence within this competitive landscape early in April!