Parma @ Empoli FC - May 10, 2025

As we gear up for the showdown between Empoli F.C. and Parma F.C. on Saturday in Serie A, fans should prepare for an intriguing match laden with subplots and statistical insights. On paper, the outlook seems tepid with both teams struggling this season, but the underlying data can reveal some interesting trends that could define the game.

Starting with the odds, sportsbooks opened with Empoli F.C. at 1.53 and Parma F.C. at 1.79. This slight favoritism towards Empoli perhaps reflects home-field advantage, an often-overlooked factor that can heavily influence outcomes. When we drill down into the numbers, however, it’s evident that both squads are in the basement of the Serie A table. Empoli sits in 19th place, boasting a record of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 18 losses, while Parma is not far ahead in 15th place with a record of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 15 losses.

Now, let’s look at the last matches both teams played; Empoli suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to S.S. Lazio, while Parma faced a similar fate against Como, also falling 1-0. Interestingly, these low-scoring affairs provide a statistical trend worth keeping in mind for this matchup. The lack of goals scored — only 1 in the last two combined matches — has led to a surge in activity for UNDER bettors, and we should not be surprised if this game follows suit given both teams’ recent struggles in the attacking department.

Delving deeper, we can also analyze the combined goal production of both teams throughout the season. Parma has averaged a low 1.1 goals per match while conceding approximately 1.4. Conversely, Empoli has mirrored this struggle, averaging just 0.9 goals scored and allowing around 1.5 goals. Given these statistics, we are looking at two teams that have consistently had difficulty finding the back of the net, leading to cautious predictions on total goals for this match.

While the draw odds are set at 2.26, it’s important to reflect on how often these teams have shared the spoils. With both sides hitting the back of the net less frequently, a draw wouldn’t surprise me, given the nature of both teams’ playing styles. Defensive solidity often takes precedence when teams are low on confidence, and if either team does get a goal, it could very well set the tone for a defensive endeavor by the other side to stave off defeat rather than pushing for victory aggressively.

All in all, I predict we might see a stalemate or a slim victory for either side, likely with minimal goals— 1-0 or 1-1 seems plausible. With this game pivotal for both teams to potentially elevate themselves from the relegation spots, we should expect a tightly contested affair. So in summary, brace yourself for low-scoring drama at the heart of Serie A as these two struggling teams clash in what promises to be a telling encounter in their fight for survival.