Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors - May 10, 2025

As the Minnesota Timberwolves gear up to face the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center, all signs point toward an intriguing matchup. Oddsmakers have opened the Timberwolves as 4.5-point favorites, reflecting their recent dominance over the Warriors. In their last encounter, Minnesota decisively won 117-93, covering an 11-point spread in a game that went OVER with a total of 210 points.

Looking at the Timberwolves’ season record of 54-35 and a solid performance against the spread (44-45), they are riding high with a recent run of form—winning four out of their last five games against the spread. Their overall success is underscored by a remarkable 13-3 record in their last 16 games. However, it’s worth noting that while they can score efficiently—averaging around 113.6 points per game on an impressive shooting percentage of nearly 46.7%—they’ve also been adept at controlling pace and limiting scoring opportunities for opponents, evidenced by nine games going UNDER in their last thirteen outings.

On the flip side, Golden State enters this contest with a mixed bag: a record of 54-38 but only managing to cover just two out of six spreads recently. They’ve struggled at home too, posting a dismal ATS record of just one win in their last seven attempts on familiar ground. With offensive stats showing them averaging approximately 113 points per game on about 45% shooting from the field and decent three-point efficiency (36%), they certainly have firepower; however, defensive inconsistencies could be problematic.

Defensively, both teams show interesting trends. The Warriors allow roughly equal rebounds per game compared to Minnesota (around 44.9 vs. about 44.2), but they struggle more with turnovers—averaging almost 14 lost possessions per game versus Minnesota’s slightly better rate near that figure as well (approximately 14). The Warriors’ defense has also been characterized by higher foul rates and fewer steals than what we’ve seen from Minnesota’s lineup.

Given these statistics and trends heading into Saturday’s match-up, I predict that we will see another victory for Minnesota over Golden State—likely similar to their previous clash where they dominated both offensively and defensively while covering the spread comfortably once again.

In terms of total points scored in this matchup? Expect fireworks! Both teams have shown tendencies to push totals OVER recently despite some defensive lapses here and there—a trend that’s likely to continue given both squads’ capabilities to score efficiently when needed.

So my predictions? The Timberwolves take down the Warriors convincingly tonight while covering that -4.5 spread—and we should expect plenty of scoring action leading us towards another OVER outcome as well!