ITSA
Roma @ Atalanta - May 12, 2025
May 12, 2025, 9:06am EDT
TSG A.I. Picks
2:45pm EDT, Monday | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
Atalanta | -0.75 -110 | -144 | O 2.5 -116 |
Roma | +0.75 -110 | +369 | U 2.5 -106 |
Confidence Score For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners. |
2:45pm EDT, Monday
Spread
For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners.
Atalanta
-0.75
-110
Roma
+0.75
-110
Moneyline
Atalanta
-144
Roma
+369
Over/Under
Over 2.5
-116
Under 2.5
-106
Odds Provided By BetUS
MONEYLINE PICK
Atalanta
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
OVER/UNDER PICK
Over
2.5
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
Ah, the sweet thrill of a local derby! There’s nothing quite like the energy and intensity of when Atalanta B.C. welcomes A.S. Roma to their turf. Set for Monday, both teams are itching to assert their dominance in this high-stakes clash, which is about more than just points on the table—it’s bragging rights for the fans.
As I glance over the numbers laid out by the sportsbooks, Atalanta is favored at -144, which sounds about right given their strong standing at 3rd place with a record of 20 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses. Their recent victory against Monza, where they racked up a solid 4 goals, shows they’re not just winning; they’re coming alive offensively. And let’s not forget their attacking prowess—these guys love to score and they love to do so in bunches. It wasn’t a coin flip for totals bettors, as that game went OVER, serving it up with a delicious side of entertainment.
On the other side of the pitch, A.S. Roma sits at 6th place with a record of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses. They come into this match off of a narrow 1-0 win against ACF Fiorentina. Sure, they’ll take the win, but scoring just a single goal is about as appetizing as a cold pizza. They may be defensively sound, but one has to question whether their chances against a free-scoring Atalanta will hinge on solely looking for the odd goal here and there.
Now, here’s the kicker: Derbies often bring unpredictable outcomes. I’ve seen it countless times. Teams that are lower in the table can snatch victory from the jaws of defeat when they face their arch-rivals. That’s the spirit of these matchups. Atalanta might appear to have the upper hand on paper, but when the whistle blows, stats often take a backseat to passion.
Taking a glance at the odds again, A.S. Roma is sitting at +369 for the win. Normally, I’d be wary of a long shot like that, but I say this: if A.S. Roma can solidify their defense and capitalize on Atalanta’s minor defensive errors, they might just snatch a win, or at the very least, steal a well-earned point. I wouldn’t rule out a draw at +280, considering how these tightly contested matches often piqué unpredictable endings.
As far as predictions go, I’m leaning towards Atalanta edging this one out. The home advantage and their recent form give them a wicked edge. But I wouldn’t discount a spirited performance from Roma. It reeks of a close affair, perhaps a 2-1 victory for Atalanta. It’s a calculated risk, and for the side bets, keep an eye on the OVER/UNDER line. With both teams revealing their attacking instincts, we might just see some fireworks.
So, for this clash of titans, watch the buildup, feel the atmosphere, and maybe, just maybe, roll with your gut. After all, this isn’t just another game—it’s a battle for glory!
Atalanta vs Roma Live Odds & Betting History
Betting odds provided by BetUS
Wager Type | Atalanta | Roma |
---|---|---|
Spread | -0.75 (-110) | +0.75 (-110) |
Moneyline | -144 | +369 |
Total | Under 2.5 (-106) | Over 2.5 (-116) |
Team Data | Atalanta | Roma |
---|---|---|
Score | 2.03 | 1.43 |
Goals | 1.97 | 1.40 |
Shots | 14.44 | 13.60 |
Shots on Target | 4.82 | 4.26 |
Passing Percentage | 82.86% | 83.30% |
Fouls | 11.41 | 10.51 |
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