Valencia @ Alavés - May 14, 2025

As a retired coach with years of experience analyzing team strategies and dynamics, I can’t help but reflect on what we might expect from the upcoming clash between Alaves and Valencia CF on Wednesday. With Alaves sitting precariously in 17th position with a record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, they’re desperate for points as they strive to escape the relegation zone. Conversely, Valencia CF finds themselves in 11th place with 11 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses—certainly not where the club had hoped to be either, but they are coming off a revitalizing 3-0 victory last week.

Recent results suggest clear differences in momentum. Alaves faced a tough outing against Athletic Bilbao, suffering a loss that not only leaves them low on confidence but also highlights their struggles in front of goal. They managed to score just once against Bilbao, which continues a worrying trend for a team that needs to find a way to push through defensive lines. In contrast, Valencia’s recent victory over Getafe was indicative of their attacking prowess—three goals scored signifies a team that has found its spark. Winning by that margin can instill a buoyant mindset, which is crucial when stepping into an away game where the stakes are high.

Watching this game unfold will be akin to analyzing a chess match where both teams are trying to outmaneuver each other. Alaves will likely be focused on tightening their defense, hoping to capitalize on any errors made by Valencia, while the latter will aim to exploit the weaknesses we’ve seen from Alaves’ backline. One must keep in mind that home matches can present unique advantages—loud crowds, familiar pitches, and the need to perform for the fans can energize a home side that otherwise struggles.

From a strategic viewpoint, Alaves must prioritize possession and create multiple opportunities to unsettle Valencia’s defense. This involves disciplined pressing while also ensuring that their defense remains solid to avoid conceding early—something that could shatter their confidence. Valencia, on the other hand, should leverage their attacking momentum. Creating overlaps and utilizing wide play could stretch Alaves, allowing for that decisive penetration into the box.

I suspect that this match could end in a draw—a prediction reflective of both teams’ current form but with a twist. Alaves may fight hard for every inch, buoyed by the need to secure points, while Valencia could adopt a more measured approach, seeking to preserve their recent victory’s confidence without overextending themselves. With the odds indicating a potential draw at 2.12, there’s value in considering this outcome, especially given Alaves’ need for points and Valencia’s psychological edge post-victory.

In conclusion, expect a tactical battle—Alaves desperate to clinch points in a relegation fight, and Valencia aiming to continue their recent success. Both coaches will surely be wary of the other’s strengths and weaknesses, making adjustments accordingly. As a former coach, I’d advise fans to keep their eyes not just on the scoreboard, but on the strategies employed by each side; it promises to be an intriguing encounter on the pitch.