MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies - May 16, 2025

May 16, 2025, 9:03am EDT

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SPREAD PICK

Pittsburgh Pirates

+1.5

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

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BetUS

+1.5

-119

MONEYLINE PICK

Philadelphia Phillies

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

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BetUS

phi

-222

OVER/UNDER PICK

Over

9

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

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BetUS

9

-102

As someone who’s been around the betting block more times than I can count, tonight’s matchup between the Phillies and the Pirates has my attention. We’re looking at a game where the odds seem to favor Philadelphia quite heavily, and for good reason. Based on what we’ve seen this season, everything points to a Phillies victory and, frankly, it could be a high-scoring affair.

First off, let’s break down the pitchers. The Phillies will send out Ranger Suárez—he’s got a win-loss record sitting at 1-0 with an ERA of about 3.8. Those strikeouts are impressive too; nearly 10 per game! On the flip side, you have Andrew Heaney from Pittsburgh with a record of 2-3 and an ERA over 4.2. His strikeout numbers aren’t shabby either but they don’t quite match up to Suárez’s effectiveness.

Now let’s look at those batting stats because that’s where it gets interesting. The Phillies are averaging around 4.7 runs per game with close to 9 hits and an on-base percentage just above 72%. This is a team that knows how to get on base and make things happen—definitely something worth noting when considering your bets tonight.

On the other hand, we’ve got the Pirates who are struggling significantly at the plate with only about 3 runs per game and an alarming .215 batting average. Their offensive production is lagging far behind their opponents’, which makes me skeptical about their chances against a team like Philly.

I’m feeling pretty confident in predicting that not only will the Phillies come out on top tonight—but they’ll do so in style with plenty of runs scored along the way. It’s hard to ignore those numbers; they scream value for taking over on total runs for this matchup.

For any seasoned bettors out there like myself, it feels like one of those nights where you might want to double-check your rituals before placing your bets—maybe light a candle or wear your lucky socks? Just saying! Betting isn’t just numbers; it’s also about those little superstitions we carry into every wager.

So here’s my final call: place your bets on the Phillies winning comfortably tonight while keeping an eye on that total score going over as well—it makes sense given both teams’ current form and stats. Sure, anything can happen in baseball; that’s part of its unpredictable beauty—but based on everything I’ve seen leading up to this point in the season, I’m feeling bullish about this one.

Let’s hope for some fireworks under those bright lights tonight! Happy betting!

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BetUS

Wager TypePhiladelphia PhilliesPittsburgh Pirates
Spread-1.5 (-103) +1.5 (-119)
Moneyline-222+184
TotalUnder 9 (-125)Over 9 (-102)
Team DataPhiladelphia PhilliesPittsburgh Pirates
Runs4.713.05
Hits8.817.23
Runs Batted In4.462.98
Batting Average0.2530.215
On-Base Slugging72.25%61.50%
Walks3.783.58
Strikeouts9.787.40
Earned Run Average3.794.21
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