Genoa @ Bologna - May 24, 2025

As we gear up for the encounter between Bologna F.C. 1909 and Genoa C.F.C. this Saturday, it’s essential to look closely at both the teams’ current standings and performance trends to gauge how this match might unfold. From a statistical perspective, Bologna comes into this clash with a record of 16 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses, firmly positioned in the 7th spot in the Serie A table. Conversely, Genoa, with a record of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 15 losses, sits lower in 13th place, making this contest not just a battle for three points but also a crucial points decision for both clubs.

Bologna’s recent form has been inconsistent, highlighted by their last outing—a 3-2 defeat to ACF Fiorentina. Despite this setback, Bologna has a strong home advantage that we cannot overlook; they have secured a significant number of points at their venue. Historically, teams that perform well in home games tend to secure up to 60% of their total points there, and if we consider Bologna’s home record, a victory can be anticipated.

On the other hand, Genoa has struggled of late, recently losing to Atalanta B.C. in another high-scoring affair, which saw 5 goals total. Their performance away from home has been less than stellar, making the task of snatching a victory from Bologna on their turf a challenging one. The numbers show that teams often find it difficult to secure positive results when on the road, especially when facing opponents sitting substantially higher in the league standings.

Bologna has shown a knack for scoring, marked by their ability to contribute to high-scoring matches, as suggested by their average goals per game in recent weeks. This trend speaks favorably to the game going over the total, which was a theme in both teams’ last outings. With odds hovering at -179 for a Bologna win and +450 for Genoa, the bookmakers are clearly placing their bets on the home side, reflecting their statistical edge. The draw at +310 presents an intriguing value, especially given the potential for a match filled with offensive action.

Based on their current form and recent performances, Bologna is likely to have the upper hand in this match-up. The statistics suggest that they will not only dominate possession but also capitalize on their chances, possibly leading to a goal differential that could push the total above the traditional threshold for goals in Serie A.

Anticipating the outcome, I would lean towards a victory for Bologna, with a predicted scoreline likely landing in the 3-1 range. That outcome aligns with their offensive capabilities balanced against Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities. Corralling Genoa’s recent trends and factoring in Bologna’s home-field advantage gives us a clearer expectation for this match, and I would not be surprised to see both teams contributing to the scoreline as they have been in recent contests. Ultimately, I expect a thrilling encounter filled with opportunities and a significant edge for the home side.