Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals - June 19, 2025

As I gear up for tonight’s matchup between the Nationals and the Rockies, I’m excited to dive into the numbers that will likely shape this game. The data tells a compelling story, and it’s one that favors the Nationals as they take on the Rockies.

Starting with pitching, we have Trevor Williams on the mound for Washington. His win-loss record of 3-8 might raise some eyebrows, but looking deeper into his stats reveals a pitcher who has been somewhat unlucky in terms of run support. With an ERA of 4.966 and averaging about 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, he can certainly hold his own against opposing hitters. While he may not be at the top of his game, he’s shown flashes of brilliance that suggest he could perform well tonight.

On the other side is Chase Dollander for Colorado, sporting a 2-7 record and an ERA of 5.623. His strikeout rate is slightly lower than Williams’, coming in at around 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings. This suggests that while he can miss bats occasionally, he often allows more contact than desired—something that’s critical when facing a lineup like Washington’s.

Now let’s look at how these two teams stack up offensively. The Nationals average approximately 4.2 runs per game with a batting average of .232 and an on-base slugging percentage hovering around 66.8%. They also accumulate nearly 8 hits per game along with about 4 RBIs—a solid performance that indicates their ability to generate scoring opportunities.

In contrast, we see the Rockies struggling offensively with only about 3.4 runs scored per game and a batting average sitting at .219—both figures are significantly lower than those of their opponents tonight. Their on-base slugging percentage stands at around 64%, which further illustrates their difficulties in producing consistent offensive output.

When you combine all these statistics together, it becomes clear why I predict a victory for the Nationals this evening—and why I lean toward taking the over on total runs scored in this matchup as well.

The disparity in offensive production combined with both pitchers’ abilities gives us reason to believe that there will be ample scoring opportunities throughout this contest. With Williams likely able to limit damage against a struggling Rockies lineup while Washington’s offense capitalizes on Dollander’s inconsistencies, expect fireworks when it comes to run totals.

In conclusion, my prediction is straightforward: expect to see the Nationals come out victorious against Colorado tonight while also anticipating an entertaining display of offense leading to total runs exceeding expectations—so grab your popcorn because this one’s going to be exciting!