Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees - August 26, 2025

The New York Yankees will beat the Washington Nationals. The Washington Nationals will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

When examining the offensive capabilities, the Yankees are producing approximately 5.1 runs per game with an average of 8.5 hits and a batting average of 0.243. This indicates a relatively consistent ability to generate scoring opportunities. In contrast, the Nationals’ performance leaves much to be desired, as they are only averaging 4.3 runs and have a similar hit rate of 8.2, coupled with a lower batting average of 0.237. This offensive gap suggests the Yankees should have no trouble building a lead.

On the pitching side, the Yankees possess an average earned run average (ERA) of 4.2, which is markedly better than the Nationals’ 5.4. This disparity means the Yankees’ pitchers will likely limit the Nationals’ scoring chances, while their offense should be able to exploit Washington’s subpar pitching. Consequently, I expect New York to win decisively. However, considering both teams’ offensive outputs combined with the Yankees’ potential to score, the total runs should exceed the over/under line set for this matchup.