Baltimore Orioles @ San Diego Padres - September 1, 2025

The San Diego Padres will beat the Baltimore Orioles. The Baltimore Orioles will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

When examining the overall performance of both teams, the Padres boast a marginally lower earned run average (ERA) at 3.7 compared to the Orioles’ 4.8. This disparity in pitching efficiency is a critical factor in the outcome of today’s game. The Padres allow fewer runs on average, which aligns with their ability to stifle opponents’ scoring opportunities. Furthermore, the Padres have recorded approximately 4.2 runs per game, while the Orioles edge slightly higher at 4.3 runs. However, this advantage in run production does not quite compensate for Baltimore’s pitching vulnerabilities.

Additionally, the Padres have displayed better offensive efficiency with a batting average of .245 against the Orioles’ .234. The combined average of hits per game hovers just over eight for both teams, but with the Padres’ superior ERA, they are likely to limit the Orioles’ offensive production. Combined with the likelihood of a lower-scoring affair—given the statistics supporting both teams’ struggles to consistently score— the final outcome will align with a modest game total that remains under the projected mark. Overall, while the Padres are expected to secure a victory, the Orioles will manage to cover the spread in a low-scoring contest.