College Basketball Player Props – Best NCAAB Prop Bets Today, February 11

Total Points: Yaxel Lendeborg (MICH) Under 14.5 (-125)

Yaxel Lendeborg has been a steady contributor for Michigan this season, but this road matchup against Northwestern presents a tougher path to clearing an elevated scoring total.

Lendeborg enters Wednesday night averaging 14.3 points per game on 50.5% shooting from the field, which is solid production, though this number asks for a bit more than his typical output. Recent trends also point toward the under.

Lendeborg has scored 14 points or fewer in three of his last four games and in eight of his previous 11 starts overall. That consistency below this threshold makes 14.5 feel slightly inflated, especially away from home.

There is also a realistic game flow concern. Northwestern sits at 10 and 14 on the season, and if Michigan builds a comfortable lead, starters could see reduced minutes late.

Under 14.5 points on Lendeborg shapes up as one of the best college basketball prop bets today.

Total Points: Nick Martinelli (NW) Under 21.5 (-120)

Nick Martinelli is the engine that makes Northwestern go, but this is a difficult spot for the Wildcats’ leading scorer. Michigan brings a disciplined defensive unit into this matchup, allowing just 68.6 points per game and consistently making life tough on perimeter players.

Look at this defensive possession by Michigan’s Yaxel Lendeborg.

Starts as a mid spy. Tracks a wing before effortlessly switching to guard Mingo, a PG.

Blocks off Mingo and switches again to Blackwood (a forward), before walling up and rejecting the shot attempt.

Elite D pic.twitter.com/KkubWq6fbi

— College Hoops Database (@CollegeHoopsTIk) February 6, 2026

Martinelli has been outstanding overall this season, averaging 22.7 points per game on an efficient 52.3% shooting clip. However, his recent production suggests some regression from that average.

He has scored 21 points or fewer in three straight games and in three of his last four outings. Since January 14, Martinelli has topped 23 points just once in eight games, showing a more modest scoring ceiling against quality competition.

With Michigan’s defensive pressure likely focused squarely on him and limited secondary scoring around him, this should be a grind. Given the matchup and recent trend, under 21.5 points stands out as the best college basketball prop bet in this game.