Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers - August 28, 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers will beat the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Arizona Diamondbacks will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

Analyzing the offensive metrics, the Brewers average 5.1 runs per game while showcasing a hit rate of 8.7. Comparatively, the Diamondbacks score at a slightly lower rate of 4.9 runs with 8.5 hits per game. This statistical edge not only indicates the Brewers have a more potent offense but also suggests that they are likely to capitalize on any defensive gaps presented by the Diamondbacks. The Brewers’ batting average does not significantly outshine the Diamondbacks, maintaining a solid .251 against their opponents’ .245. However, it is the cumulative scoring potential that gives Milwaukee an upper hand in this matchup.

On the pitching side, the Brewers maintain a stronger average earned run average (ERA) of 3.6 compared to the Diamondbacks’ 4.6. This disparity in pitching effectiveness means that while both teams can score, the Brewers have a better chance of keeping the Diamondbacks’ runs in check, which will be crucial in determining the game’s outcome. That said, the total runs scored by both teams should provide enough offense, pushing the total over in this matchup. Given these metrics, I have high confidence in the Brewers winning, though I expect the Diamondbacks to challenge them effectively, leading to a relatively high-scoring game.