Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies - August 31, 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will beat the Atlanta Braves. The Atlanta Braves will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

Looking at the two teams, the Phillies have a clear edge in offensive production, averaging 4.8 runs per game compared to the Braves’ 4.5. The Phillies’ batting average stands at 0.251, significantly higher than the Braves’ 0.239. With the Phillies generating approximately 8.8 hits per game versus the Braves’ 8.3, it’s reasonable to expect that the Phillies’ lineup will capitalize on more scoring opportunities. Furthermore, the lower ERA of the Phillies at 3.9 suggests a more reliable pitching staff when compared to the Braves’ 4.5.

While the Braves may keep the game close—exemplified by their home-field advantage—it’s unlikely they can match the Phillies in terms of run production. Additionally, both teams’ recent trends indicate a tendency to trend under the total; particularly, with the Braves struggling to consistently score over their last few outings. Therefore, while I foresee the Phillies securing a victory, the Braves will remain competitive enough to cover the spread, while the total runs scored will likely fall short of expectations.