Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - August 26, 2025

The Boston Red Sox will beat the Baltimore Orioles. The Baltimore Orioles will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

Analyzing the offensive capabilities of both teams, the Red Sox are clearly positioned to capitalize on the Orioles’ pitching. The Red Sox average 5.0 runs per game while hitting .248, compared to the Orioles’ 4.4 runs and a batting average of .235. The disparity in offensive output represents a significant advantage for the Red Sox, who also generate about 8.7 hits per game, largely overshadowing the Orioles’ modest 8.1 hits per game. This trend suggests that the Red Sox will likely create more opportunities to score.

On the pitching side, the Red Sox maintain a stellar 3.8 ERA, significantly better than the Orioles’ 4.8 ERA. This suggests that while both teams may allow runs, the Red Sox are more adept at containing their opponents’ scoring. Furthermore, given the offensive firepower and the Red Sox’s solid pitching, I expect this matchup to yield a high-scoring affair, likely pushing the total over. Additionally, while I predict a Red Sox victory, the Orioles are still capable of exploiting weaknesses, allowing them to cover the spread in this matchup.