Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - August 27, 2025

The Boston Red Sox will beat the Baltimore Orioles. The Baltimore Orioles will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

Examining the offensive strengths of these two teams provides clarity on these outcomes. The Boston Red Sox average 4.99 runs per game and achieve 8.68 hits, reflected in their solid batting average of .247. In contrast, the Baltimore Orioles, with an average of 4.36 runs and 8.12 hits, are less effective at converting opportunities into runs, indicated by their .235 batting average. This discrepancy in offensive production gives Boston a notable edge heading into this matchup.

On the pitching front, the battle favors the Red Sox even more. Their team ERA of 3.79 is superior to Baltimore’s 4.81. This suggests that Boston is better equipped to limit scoring from their opponents while primarily dominating in run production. While the Orioles’ offense can occasionally muster enough firepower to keep pace, their overall inconsistency and heightened run prevention issues create an environment where hitting the total seems likely. Given these analyses, I expect a high-scoring affair where the Red Sox ultimately emerge victorious, and both teams contribute to the over being reached.