Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles - August 28, 2025

The Boston Red Sox will beat the Baltimore Orioles. The Baltimore Orioles will cover the spread, and the total will go over.

The Red Sox come into this matchup boasting a robust offense that averages approximately 4.977 runs per game with a notable 8.667 hits per contest. Their batting average of 0.247 demonstrates an ability to get on base consistently. In contrast, the Orioles have struggled offensively, averaging around 4.351 runs and a batting average of just 0.235. This disparity in run production is likely to impact the overall outcome, especially when considering the Red Sox’s home-field advantage.

On the mound, the statistics further bolster the case for the Red Sox. With an ERA of 3.782, their pitching staff has shown to be relatively effective at preventing runs compared to the Orioles, whose pitching staff carries a higher ERA of approximately 4.805. This difference not only places the Red Sox in a favorable position to secure the win but also suggests that the game could see elevated scoring. Given the hitting prowess displayed by both squads, it is reasonable to expect that the total will surpass the established line, leading to an offensive showcase that favors the home team while allowing the Orioles to cover.