Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets - June 1, 2025

As I prepare for the matchup between the Colorado Rockies and New York Mets at Citi Field, the data tells a compelling story that heavily favors the home team. The Rockies are struggling mightily this season, with a dismal record of 9-49. They’ve lost their last seven games and have been outscored consistently, averaging just 3.2 runs per game compared to the Mets’ robust 4.3.

On the mound, we have Carson Palmquist starting for Colorado. His struggles this season are evident in his win-loss record of 0-3 and an ERA sitting at a troubling 8.8. With strikeouts averaging around 6.5 per nine innings, it’s clear he’s having difficulty keeping hitters off balance. In contrast, Clay Holmes will take the mound for New York with a solid record of 5-3 and an impressive ERA of just under 3 (2.95). His ability to generate strikeouts—averaging nearly 8.9 per nine innings—gives him a significant edge over Palmquist.

The oddsmakers opened with New York as heavy favorites at -455 on the moneyline, which speaks volumes about how they view this contest given both teams’ current form and stats. The total runs were set at 8.5, but considering both teams’ recent performances and offensive capabilities, I expect that number to be surpassed.

Looking deeper into each team’s batting statistics reveals even more disparity: while the Mets boast a .240 batting average with an on-base slugging percentage hovering around 71%, Colorado’s numbers paint a bleaker picture with only a .212 batting average and an on-base slugging percentage below 62%. This gap in offensive production is likely to play a crucial role in today’s game.

In their last encounter, New York triumphed decisively with an 8-2 victory over Colorado—a trend that seems poised to continue given their current trajectories. The Rockies have not only lost five straight games but also seem unable to keep pace offensively or defensively against stronger opponents like the Mets.

Given these insights, my prediction leans heavily towards another victory for New York today—with expectations that they will not only secure the win but also push past that total of eight runs set by oddsmakers due to their potent lineup facing off against an overwhelmed Rockies pitching staff.

In conclusion, if you’re looking for betting angles today: bet on New York winning comfortably while taking advantage of what looks like favorable conditions for scoring—expecting totals to go OVER based on recent trends from both lineups should yield positive results as well!