Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants - May 4, 2025

As I gear up for the matchup between the Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park, it’s hard not to feel a mix of excitement and trepidation for the Rockies. They’re coming into this game with a record that reads like a horror story—just 6 wins against 27 losses this season. To put it simply, they’ve been struggling mightily.

On the mound for Colorado is Germán Márquez, who has yet to secure a win this season, sitting at an unflattering 0-5 with an ERA hovering around 5.3. While his strikeout rate is decent (about 6.6 per game), it’s clear he hasn’t found his groove yet. The Rockies’ overall performance reflects their pitching woes; they’ve lost 18 of their last 21 games, which can be attributed in part to their inability to keep runs off the board—allowing an average of over six runs per game during that stretch.

Conversely, we have Logan Webb on the hill for San Francisco—a pitcher who has shown more promise this season with a record of 3-2 and a solid ERA of about 2.8. His ability to strike out batters (around 8.7 per game) adds another layer of difficulty for opposing hitters, especially those struggling as much as Colorado’s lineup has been lately.

When we look at offensive production, it becomes even clearer why oddsmakers opened with San Francisco as -400 favorites in this contest. The Giants are averaging approximately 4.5 runs per game with nearly seven and a half hits each outing—numbers that should spell trouble for Márquez if he doesn’t find his rhythm early on. In contrast, Colorado’s offense is limping along at just over three runs per game and hitting only .207 collectively.

The last meeting between these two teams resulted in a victory for San Francisco by a score of 6-3—a result that seems likely to repeat itself given both teams’ current trajectories. Additionally, considering both offenses have shown some life recently despite their struggles (especially the Giants), I expect we’ll see more than just a few runs cross home plate today.

In terms of betting lines, I would lean towards taking the over on the total set at 7.5 runs—not because I believe in either team’s prowess but rather due to how poorly Colorado has pitched combined with how effective San Francisco can be when they get going offensively.

So what can we expect from today’s contest? It appears likely that we’ll witness another Giants victory—potentially by multiple runs—as they capitalize on Márquez’s struggles while Webb continues his strong start to the season. For fans looking forward to some fireworks at Oracle Park today: buckle up!