Dallas Stars @ Edmonton Oilers - May 27, 2025

As the Dallas Stars prepare to face off against the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place, we can expect an intriguing matchup that pits two teams with contrasting styles and recent performances. The Oilers come into this game as -155 moneyline favorites, reflecting their strong home record and recent success against the Stars.

The Stars are currently struggling, having lost four of their last five games against the spread (ATS). In fact, they were recently trounced 6-1 by these very Oilers, which should be fresh in their minds as they look for redemption. However, it’s worth noting that despite their recent woes, Dallas has shown resilience in some areas. Their defensive stats are impressive; they boast a 90.7% save percentage and an 82.02% penalty kill percentage—both of which rank among the best in the league.

On offense, both teams have similar goal-scoring averages: Dallas scores about 3.247 goals per game while Edmonton is slightly behind at 3.242 goals per game. However, when you break down their shooting percentages and opportunities created, there’s a noticeable difference in offensive efficiency. The Oilers have a shooting percentage of 10.427%, while the Stars lead slightly with a 12.138%. This suggests that while both teams can score, Dallas may be more efficient when given chances.

When it comes to special teams play, Edmonton’s power play operates at a solid 23.72% success rate but only manages about 0.621 power play goals per game on approximately 2.622 chances—a good indicator of how often they capitalize on opportunities without overwhelming opponents with sheer volume of chances like Dallas does (0.722 power play goals on about 3 attempts).

Defensively speaking, Edmonton’s penalty kill is less effective than Dallas’s—78.16% compared to the Stars’ robust performance—indicating that if Dallas can draw penalties effectively tonight, they might find themselves with advantageous scoring opportunities.

Looking ahead to Tuesday night’s showdown: I predict that while Edmonton will likely emerge victorious based on their current form and home advantage (10-2 SU in last twelve), don’t count out Dallas covering the spread due to their ability to keep games tight defensively despite offensive struggles lately.

Given both teams’ tendencies towards lower-scoring affairs recently—with four of Dallas’s last six games going UNDER—the total set at six seems ambitious considering both defenses are capable of stifling opponents’ offenses.

In summary: expect an intense battle where Edmonton claims victory but falls short of blowing out a resilient Stars team who will cover the spread; furthermore anticipate an outcome leaning towards UNDER as both squads prioritize defensive structure over high-octane offense tonight.