Dallas Stars @ Winnipeg Jets - May 9, 2025

As the Dallas Stars prepare to face off against the Winnipeg Jets at Canada Life Centre, there’s a palpable sense of anticipation surrounding this divisional matchup. The Stars enter as slight favorites at -110 on the moneyline, and with a total set at 5.5 goals, we can expect an intriguing battle between these two teams.

From a statistical standpoint, both teams have shown offensive prowess this season. The Jets are averaging 3.3 goals per game with a shooting percentage of 11.9%. They also boast an impressive power play success rate of 28.9%, converting nearly one-third of their opportunities into goals. However, despite their offensive capabilities, Winnipeg has struggled recently with only two wins in their last six games and a dismal record against the spread (ATS), going just 1-6 in that span.

On the other hand, the Stars mirror the Jets’ goal-scoring output with an average of 3.3 goals per game but have a slightly higher shooting percentage at 12.4%. Their power play is less effective than Winnipeg’s, sitting at just 22%, which could be crucial if they find themselves needing to capitalize on special teams opportunities.

Defensively, both teams have had their strengths and weaknesses. The Jets have been solid in net with a save percentage of 91.5% and an adequate penalty kill rate of 79.4%. Conversely, Dallas has faced some challenges in goal with a lower save percentage of 90.7%, though they excel on the penalty kill at over 82%.

Given recent trends and performances from both squads, I predict that Dallas will come out on top tonight against Winnipeg for several reasons:

1. **Current Form**: The Stars are riding high after their recent victory over the Jets where they won by a narrow margin of 3-2 while playing away from home—this momentum could prove pivotal.

2. **Covering the Spread**: Despite being only slightly favored, Dallas has performed well ATS lately (5-2 in last seven games), suggesting they’re capable not just of winning but doing so convincingly enough to cover any spread set before them.

3. **Game Total**: With both teams scoring around three goals per game but also having strong defensive metrics (especially Dallas’ penalty kill), I anticipate that this matchup will trend towards being low-scoring—meaning we should expect it to stay under that total line set at 5.5.

In conclusion, I foresee Dallas emerging victorious against Winnipeg tonight while covering the spread comfortably as they continue to build upon their recent successes—while keeping things tight defensively ensures we stay under that total mark as well!