Dallas Stars @ Winnipeg Jets - May 15, 2025

As the Dallas Stars prepare to face off against the Winnipeg Jets at Canada Life Centre, fans can expect an exciting clash between these two division rivals. The Stars come into this game with a record of 57-30-6, while the Jets boast an impressive 61-28-4 mark. Oddsmakers have opened the Stars as slight -110 moneyline favorites, with a total set at 6.5 goals.

The recent history between these teams favors Dallas, who won their last encounter on May 13 by a score of 3-1. Bettors who backed the Stars that day were rewarded handsomely, and given their current form—4-1 straight up in their last five games—they seem poised to continue this trend.

When we look at offensive stats, both teams are averaging around 3.3 goals per game; however, there are some key differences worth noting. The Jets generate slightly more shots per game (28.13) compared to the Stars (28.07), but Dallas boasts a higher shooting percentage (12.32%) than Winnipeg’s (11.82%). This efficiency in scoring could prove crucial in what is expected to be a tightly contested matchup.

On special teams, Winnipeg has been effective on the power play with a conversion rate of nearly 29%, scoring approximately 0.75 goals per game from power plays. In contrast, Dallas struggles more in this department with only about 0.70 power play goals per game and a lower success rate of just 22%. This disparity may give Winnipeg an edge if they can draw penalties and capitalize on those opportunities.

Defensively, both teams have shown resilience but differ slightly in effectiveness when it comes to saving shots and killing penalties. The Jets have an impressive save percentage of 91.5% along with an excellent penalty kill rate of 79.4%. Meanwhile, Dallas lags behind slightly with a save percentage of 90.7% and a better-than-average penalty kill rate of over 82%.

Given these statistics and recent performances, I predict that Dallas will emerge victorious tonight against Winnipeg while also covering the spread due to their strong recent form and ability to convert chances efficiently when they arise.

Furthermore, considering both teams’ tendencies toward tight defensive play and recent trends suggesting lower-scoring affairs—the total has gone UNDER in several past matchups—I expect tonight’s game will finish under the set total of 6.5 goals.

In conclusion, betters should consider backing Dallas not just for the win but also for them covering the spread based on their current momentum and overall team stats against Winnipeg’s fluctuating performance levels lately.