Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars - May 23, 2025

Well, folks, it’s that time again—game night! The Edmonton Oilers are set to clash with the Dallas Stars at the American Airlines Center, and I can already feel the excitement bubbling up. Both teams are hungry for a win, but let me tell you why I’m leaning towards Edmonton in this matchup.

First off, we have the recent history between these two teams. Just last time they met, Edmonton fell 6-3 against Dallas. However, let’s not forget that every game is a new opportunity. The Oilers have been on fire lately with an impressive record of 8-2 in their last ten games. They’ve shown resilience and grit that can’t be ignored.

Now, let’s dive into some numbers because we all know stats don’t lie. The Oilers average about 3.247 goals per game while throwing an impressive 32 shots on net—compared to Dallas’ 3.253 goals and just under 28 shots per game. That slight edge in shot volume tells me Edmonton knows how to create chances; they’re just waiting for the right moment to capitalize.

When it comes to special teams, both squads have respectable power play percentages—Edmonton at around 23.72% and Dallas at 22%. However, here’s where it gets interesting: the Oilers’ penalty kill sits at a lower percentage (78.16%) compared to Dallas’ solid mark of 82%. This could play a crucial role if either team finds themselves in foul trouble tonight.

But let’s talk about confidence—the kind that comes from covering spreads like it’s second nature. Edmonton has gone 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, showing they can keep things competitive even when odds aren’t stacked in their favor. And remember what I always say: if an underdog wins outright, they cover the spread!

On top of all this data crunching is my gut feeling—a little superstition never hurt anyone! I’ve got my lucky socks on tonight and have already made my ritualistic pre-game coffee (extra strong). There’s something about game day vibes that make me think this is going to be one for the books.

Looking at how both teams are trending defensively as well; Dallas has had five of its last seven games go under total points while Edmonton also leans toward lower-scoring affairs lately despite their offensive prowess. With both defenses tightening up recently and given their respective save percentages (Dallas at 90.7% versus Edmonton’s 89.4%), I wouldn’t be surprised if this game ends up below the expected total of 6.5.

So here’s my prediction: I’m putting my chips on Edmonton to take down Dallas tonight while also covering the spread—and keep an eye on those total points because I see them staying under! Time will tell if my betting rituals pay off again tonight; let’s hope Lady Luck is on our side!