Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks - May 29, 2025

As we gear up for the matchup between the Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden, there are several key statistical trends to consider that could shape the outcome of this game.

First off, let’s dive into how these two teams have fared recently. The Pacers come into this game riding a wave of momentum with a record of 61-35 straight up (SU) and an impressive 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games. They’ve also been particularly effective on the road, going 5-0 ATS in their last five away games. On the other hand, the Knicks have struggled lately, posting a 2-4 SU record over their last six games and failing to cover in five of their last seven home outings.

When it comes to offensive production, both teams are capable of putting points on the board. The Pacers average 117.4 points per game with an efficient shooting percentage of nearly 49% from the field and just over 37% from beyond the arc. Comparatively, while the Knicks score about 114.7 points per game with a slightly lower shooting percentage (48%), they still manage to keep pace offensively but may struggle to match Indiana’s firepower tonight.

Defensively, both teams show some vulnerabilities that could lead to high-scoring affairs. The Knicks allow around 42.6 total rebounds per game and commit roughly 17.7 fouls—a statistic that can be critical if Indiana capitalizes on free throw opportunities where they shoot nearly 79%. The Pacers’ defense has its own issues as well; they grab about 41.6 rebounds but commit more fouls at approximately 19 per game.

Given these stats, my prediction leans towards a victory for Indiana tonight along with them covering the -5.5-point spread set by oddsmakers—especially considering their recent success against New York which includes a win in their last meeting where they scored an eye-popping total of 130 points compared to New York’s tally of just 121.

Moreover, I expect this game will see plenty of scoring again; thus I’m predicting that it will go OVER the total set at 223 points given both teams’ offensive capabilities and defensive weaknesses highlighted above.

In summary: expect Indiana not only to win but also cover that spread comfortably while pushing this game’s combined score over expectations once again! With all factors considered—from recent performance trends to offensive efficiency—tonight promises fireworks at Madison Square Garden!