Ipswich Town @ Leicester City - May 18, 2025

As a former sports statistician, I approach the upcoming clash between Leicester City and Ipswich Town with a keen analytical lens, aiming to uncover the potential outcomes based on relevant data points. The two teams’ performances thus far in the English Premier League provide a backdrop filled with both promise and concern.

Leicester City finds themselves occupying 19th position in the league table with a record of 5-7-24, which paints a picture of a struggling side that has been finding it challenging to accumulate results. In analyzing their statistics, Leicester averages approximately 0.9 goals scored per match on around 8.9 shots, with about 2.8 of those being on target—a shooting accuracy that often leaves much to be desired. Their passing success rate stands at 79.1%, suggesting they retain possession effectively but struggle to convert that possession into goal-scoring opportunities, evident in their 10.8 fouls committed per game which indicates a lack of control sometimes leading to disruptive play.

On the other hand, Ipswich Town, although slightly better positioned at 18th with a record of 4-10-22, carries its own statistical narrative. With an average of 1.0 goals scored each match on nearly 9.5 attempts, Ipswich showcases marginally better offensive statistics than Leicester. They manage to get around 3.3 shots on target per game, revealing a more effective attacking presence, though their passing accuracy of 75.8% hints at similar struggles in maintaining flow in the final third. Their slightly higher fouls committed per match at 11.0 could indicate a team sometimes resorting to physical play to compensate for technical deficiencies.

In their last outings, Leicester managed to secure a draw against Nottingham Forest, which produced a total of four goals, suggesting an element of offensive revival—but one must consider the opposition’s credentials when evaluating that performance. Ipswich, conversely, faced a disappointing loss to Brentford, with only one goal on the board, further emphasizing their offensive hurdles.

Given the odds, with Leicester at 1.35, Ipswich at 1.84, and the draw at 2.53, there’s a consensus among bookmakers favoring Leicester to come away victorious in this encounter. Additionally, the expected game dynamics lean towards a lower total; thus, I predict an UNDER outcome based on current scoring trends and both teams’ difficulty in creating numerous offensive opportunities.

Taking into account Leicester’s home advantage and Ipswich’s recent form, I foresee a closely contested match. Despite Leicester’s position, their offensive capabilities may outshine Ipswich’s struggles on the road. My prediction? Leicester City to win, likely by a narrow margin, possibly 1-0 or 2-0, staying firmly within an UNDER total for this match. I’ll be watching closely as the game unfolds, ready to analyze and debunk trends with data at the forefront.