Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets - May 25, 2025

As we gear up for Sunday’s showdown at Citi Field, it’s clear that the clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets is shaping up to be a compelling matchup. The Dodgers will send Landon Knack to the mound, while Kodai Senga takes the ball for the Mets.

Landon Knack has had a mixed season thus far with a record of 2-1 and an ERA sitting at 4.3. While his strikeout rate is impressive at about 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, he has struggled with consistency on the mound, evident in his elevated ERA. The Dodgers have been known for their offensive prowess, averaging 5.7 runs per game with a batting average of .261 and an on-base percentage of nearly 79%. However, they’ve recently faced challenges against solid pitching, as reflected in their last outing against Senga.

On the other side, Kodai Senga boasts an impressive record of 4-3 and an outstanding ERA of just 2.9 this season. His ability to generate strikeouts—averaging around 8.96 per nine innings—combined with his strong performance metrics indicates that he can effectively contain even potent lineups like Los Angeles’. The Mets’ offense may not match L.A.’s raw run production numbers but has consistently put together solid performances—averaging about 4.4 runs per game.

From a betting perspective, oddsmakers opened with the Mets as -137 favorites over the Dodgers—a reflection not only of Senga’s dominance but also recent trends favoring New York when these teams meet; they are currently riding high after winning their last encounter by a scoreline of 5-2.

The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs which may seem reasonable given both teams’ offensive capabilities; however, I believe there is potential for this total to go over based on how well each team has performed offensively overall this season despite recent struggles in individual games.

In terms of recent performance trends:
– The Dodgers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games and have seen four out of their last six road games go UNDER.
– Conversely, while the Mets are struggling against the spread (3-8 ATS in their last eleven), they have shown resilience at home.

Given all these factors combined—the strength of Senga’s pitching against Knack’s inconsistencies and both teams’ historical context—it seems likely that we could see another victory for New York today along with enough scoring to push past that total line.

Ultimately, my prediction leans toward a win for the Mets as they aim to build momentum while taking advantage of home-field conditions—and expect plenty of action leading us over that total number!