Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks - June 28, 2025

As a seasoned bettor, I’ve learned to read the signs and trends in the MLB landscape like a hawk. The matchup on Saturday between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field has my attention, especially with the Marlins riding high on a five-game winning streak. I love it when teams catch fire; there’s something electric about momentum that can’t be ignored.

Let’s break down this matchup. Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for Miami, and while his season record of 4-8 with a 6.7 ERA isn’t exactly impressive, he’s been known to have flashes of brilliance that could surprise us all. On the other side, we have Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona, who has an 8-5 record but does possess a more respectable 5.4 ERA as well as decent strikeout numbers. However, neither pitcher seems to be in their prime form this season – making this matchup quite intriguing.

What stands out to me is Miami’s recent form; they are absolutely locked in right now, going 5-0 against the spread (ATS) and straight up (SU) in their last five games. They’ve managed to score over 9 runs per game during this stretch which indicates that their offense has come alive at just the right time. Pair that with how they performed last time out against Arizona — pulling off a thrilling 9-8 victory as underdogs — you can’t help but feel like there’s value here if you back them again.

Arizona might be favored in this game at -139 moneyline odds, but let’s not forget what happened last time these two teams met: Miami walked away winners despite being underdogs of +145. That tells me there’s potential for another upset here if they can keep up their current offensive output.

While both teams have seen plenty of runs scored recently—Arizona averaging over 5 runs per game and having gone OVER in nine of their last twelve games—I believe we’ll see plenty of fireworks once again tonight. The total opened at 8.5 and given both pitching situations along with each team’s propensity to score lately, I’m leaning towards an OVER bet here.

In terms of betting strategy, consider placing your bets on Miami to win outright given their current hot streak combined with how they’ve already bested Arizona recently. And don’t forget to sprinkle some action on the OVER; it feels like one of those classic baseball nights where we could see double-digit runs from either side.

As always though, make sure you pay attention to any late-breaking news or lineup changes before finalizing those wagers! My personal betting rituals include consulting my trusty lucky charm—a worn-out baseball cap—and sipping my favorite drink while watching the game unfold from my couch. After all these years in betting, I know better than anyone: every little bit helps build your confidence when placing those bets! Let’s go Marlins!