MLB

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets - June 11, 2024

June 11, 2024, 10:41am EDT

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SPREAD PICK

Miami Marlins

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$

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Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

Best Value

-175

MONEYLINE PICK

Miami Marlins

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$

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Best Value

MIA

+130

OVER/UNDER PICK

Under

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Best Value

-110

As a former sports statistician, I always find it fascinating to dive into the numbers and uncover hidden trends that can provide valuable insights into upcoming matchups. Today, as we look ahead to the game between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets at Citi Field, there are some key statistics that stand out.

On the mound for the Marlins will be Jesús Luzardo, who has a 2-5 record with a 4.716 ERA and an average of 8.095 strikeouts per game. Meanwhile, Tylor Megill will be starting for the Mets with a 1-2 record, a 4.395 ERA, and an average of 8.762 strikeouts per game.

When we shift our focus to the batting stats, we see that the Mets have been averaging 4.349 runs, 8.317 hits, and 4.127 RBIs per game with a batting average of .235 and an on-base slugging percentage of 68.49%. On the other hand, the Marlins have been averaging 3.603 runs, 7.921 hits, and 3.492 RBIs per game with a batting average of .230 and an on-base slugging percentage of 62.006%.

Analyzing these stats can provide us with some insights into what we can expect from this matchup between the Marlins and the Mets. Despite their recent struggles, Miami has shown improvement on the road with an impressive ATS record in their last few games away from home.

On the other hand, while New York has been performing well recently with a solid ATS record in their last few games overall, they have struggled at home with a poor ATS record in their last thirteen home games.

Taking all these factors into consideration along with the opening odds that favor the Mets as -125-moneyline favorites in this matchup suggests that it could be a closely contested game.

Based on these statistics and trends, my prediction for this game is that despite being underdogs according to oddsmakers’ initial assessment,the Miami Marlins will come out on top against the New York Mets tonight in what is expected to be a low-scoring affair where both teams struggle offensively.

It will be interesting to see how it all plays out on Tuesday night at Citi Field as these two teams battle it out on the diamond once again.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
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Betting odds provided by BetUS

Wager TypeNew York MetsMiami Marlins
Team DataNew York MetsMiami Marlins
Runs4.353.60
Hits8.327.92
Runs Batted In4.133.49
Batting Average0.2350.230
On-Base Slugging68.49%62.01%
Walks3.082.16
Strikeouts8.768.10
Earned Run Average4.404.72