Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays - May 10, 2025

As I gear up for Saturday’s interleague showdown between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field, there are a few intriguing stats and trends that jump out at me. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but as we look ahead to this matchup, I can’t help but lean toward the Brewers emerging victorious.

Starting on the mound for Milwaukee is Tobias Myers. With a 1-0 record and an ERA of 4.4, he may not seem like an ace, but his strikeout rate of approximately 7.9 per nine innings indicates he can handle pressure situations effectively. On the other side, we have Taj Bradley for Tampa Bay, who comes in with a slightly better win-loss record of 3-2 and a comparable ERA of around 3.8. However, what stands out is that both pitchers are nearly equal in terms of strikeouts per game—Bradley at about 7.9 compared to Myers’ 7.9 as well.

When it comes to run production, the Brewers have been more effective offensively this season than their opponents from Tampa Bay. The Brewers average about 4.6 runs per game with a solid batting average hovering around .231—slightly better than Tampa’s .233 average despite having fewer hits (7.8 vs. Tampa’s 8). More importantly, Milwaukee generates more RBIs per game (4.1) compared to Tampa’s modest output of just over 3.6 runs.

Despite both teams struggling recently—with Tampa Bay going just 3-7 in their last ten games—the Brewers have shown resilience on the road with a respectable record against the spread (ATS). They’ve gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight away games while also managing to keep five out of their last six contests under the total score line.

Now let’s talk about betting lines: oddsmakers opened with the Rays as -133 moneyline favorites against Milwaukee; however, given my analysis of recent performance metrics and team dynamics, I believe those odds might be skewed towards past reputations rather than current realities.

In terms of total runs expected for this matchup—which opened at an interesting line of 9.5—I’m inclined to predict that we could see more action than anticipated here as both offenses try to capitalize on pitching inconsistencies.

So what can you expect? I foresee a competitive game where Milwaukee edges out Tampa Bay thanks primarily to its superior offensive output combined with solid pitching from Myers—a perfect storm leading them to victory on Saturday night! And when it comes down to scoring? Keep your eyes peeled; I’m predicting an outcome that goes OVER that initial total line as both teams battle it out aggressively on offense!