Milwaukee Brewers @ Toronto Blue Jays - August 31, 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers will beat the Toronto Blue Jays. The Milwaukee Brewers will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

When assessing the teams statistically, the Brewers hold a slight edge in offensive output, averaging 5.1 runs per game compared to Toronto’s 5.0 runs. While the Blue Jays generate more hits at 9.2 per game, their batting average of .260 does not translate to runs effectively, ultimately resting lower in run production. The consideration here lies with the Brewers’ solid pitching staff which boasts an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.7 against the Blue Jays’ 4.3. This disparity in ERA indicates that Milwaukee is markedly better at limiting runs, positioning them well for this matchup.

Moreover, the Brewers’ defense seems capable of stifling Toronto’s attack, given that they have shown the tendency to keep opposing teams under 5 runs on a regular basis. With both teams potentially struggling to generate runs in this game, I foresee the total hitting below the predicted mark. The combination of Milwaukee’s strong pitching and slightly stronger offensive metrics suggests that the Brewers will control the tempo and final outcome, making a low-scoring affair more likely. Ultimately, I expect the Brewers to emerge victorious while keeping the score under the total.