Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers - September 1, 2025

The Milwaukee Brewers will beat the Philadelphia Phillies. The Philadelphia Phillies will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

In this matchup, the Brewers boast a slightly higher runs per game average at 5.1 compared to the Phillies’ 4.8. The offensive consistency of the Brewers, coupled with their ability to generate 8.8 hits per game, allows for a reliable approach at the plate. The team also has a favorable batting average of .252, which serves to reinforce their scoring potential. On the mound, the Brewers excel with a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.67, providing a sturdy foundation for their defense as they face a Phillies lineup that has struggled to match their offensive output consistently.

Conversely, the Phillies come into this game with a respectable on-base performance reflected in their own 8.8 hits per game and a batting average of .250. However, their slightly higher team ERA of 3.9 indicates potential vulnerabilities that the Brewers can exploit. With the Brewers having the statistical edge in both run production and pitching, it appears likely that a well-rounded team effort will result in a victory. Given the pitched battles expected, the total runs scored in this contest could remain under, especially with both teams showing a proclivity for lower-scoring affairs in recent matchups.