Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets - August 26, 2025

The New York Mets will beat the Philadelphia Phillies. The New York Mets will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

Looking at the offensive numbers, the Mets score an average of 4.6 runs and post 8.3 hits per game. While they may not be leading in offensive production, their ability to generate runs is bolstered by a solid overall team batting average of .241. More importantly, their pitching staff boasts a strong earned run average (ERA) of 3.92, indicating that they not only limit runs but also create conditions favorable for a win. This combination might allow them to capitalize on any mistakes from the Phillies.

The Phillies present a stronger offensive front with 4.8 runs and 8.8 hits per game, bolstered by a slightly higher batting average of .250. However, their pitching is slightly less reliable with an ERA of 3.78, which could be a factor if the Mets manage to challenge their pitchers effectively. Given the Mets’ resilient pitching and the tendency of games between these two teams to be tightly contested, I expect the game to remain close, leading to a final score that likely stays under the projected total. Both teams, despite their offensive capabilities, are unlikely to break through against each other’s strong bullpens. Thus, the Mets should edge out the Phillies in a close match, keeping the score down.