Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers - June 24, 2025

As we gear up for tonight’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates, I can’t help but dive into the numbers to uncover what we can expect from this game. The data suggests a clear edge for the Brewers, both on the mound and at the plate.

Starting with pitching, we have Freddy Peralta taking the hill for Milwaukee. His win-loss record stands at 7-4, boasting an ERA of 3.9 and an impressive strikeout rate of 8.2 per nine innings. This indicates that he not only limits runs but also has a knack for missing bats—an essential quality when facing any lineup.

On the other side, Andrew Heaney takes his turn for Pittsburgh with a less favorable record of 3-6 and an ERA slightly higher than Peralta’s at 3.9 as well. However, his strikeout rate is notably lower at 7.4 per nine innings, which suggests he might struggle against a lineup like Milwaukee’s that has shown capability in generating offense.

When it comes to batting statistics, there’s another significant disparity between these two teams. The Brewers average 4.6 runs per game alongside nearly 8.1 hits and about 4.3 RBIs each contest—a solid offensive output reflecting their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities effectively. Their on-base slugging percentage sits around 67.4%, indicating they are adept at getting runners on base and advancing them.

In contrast, the Pirates’ offensive stats paint a different picture; they average just over 3 runs per game with approximately 7.4 hits and only about 3 RBIs per contest—numbers that suggest they struggle to manufacture runs consistently against competent pitching staffs like that of Milwaukee’s.

Taking all this data into account leads me to predict that tonight’s game will likely favor the Brewers decisively, especially given their advantages in both pitching effectiveness and offensive firepower.

Moreover, considering how both teams perform offensively coupled with their respective pitchers’ capabilities, I believe we can expect a total score exceeding the established over/under line set for this matchup tonight. With Peralta likely keeping Pirate batters off balance while his teammates generate enough run support against Heaney’s inconsistent outings, it wouldn’t be surprising if we see an explosive performance from Milwaukee leading to several runs crossing home plate.

In summary, my prediction leans heavily towards a Brewers victory tonight combined with an expectation that total runs scored will surpass expectations set by oddsmakers due to their superior hitting stats paired with effective pitching from Peralta as he looks to secure another win for his team in front of their fans.